Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

'CaneFreak · #121 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:38 am

Acral wrote:I'm thinking they will dub it tropical, and if the BAM and NOGAPS models verify, we could see TD/TW Andrea enter the Gulf and have an outside chance of spinning back up. I know, far fetched, but hey, so was the idea of Andrea in the first place.

WHY??????????

If you will go back and look at the recon reports this morning, there would be absolutely no doubt in your mind that they should keep it classified as subtropical. The "eye" core temperatures were a mere 20 to 22 degrees Celcius or 60 to 68 degrees fahrenheit. In order to be classified as "tropical", we need to see eye core temperatures a little closer to 80 degrees Fahrenheit, if I am not terribly mistaken.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #122 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:43 am

A band of moist clouds are developing over Florida's west coast
seabreeze. I think there could be scattered thunderstorms
this afternoon across interior Florida as the seabreeze
pushes inland.

Kiss Andrea Goodbye.

Say hello to sea-breeze driven rains for Florida!!!!
What's lacking is the vertical lift for rain across florida,
if the seabreeze can work that we can get some rain today.

Chacor · #123 Postby **Chacor** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:45 am

Subtropical Depression.

#124 Postby **wjs3** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:48 am

Sure is. STD (an unfortunate acronym) Andrea. NHC site has it changed already.

WJS3

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #125 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:48 am

Yes we have a very weak subtropical depression Andrea
most likely.

Stratusxpeye · #126 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:48 am

Subtropical Depression ANDREA. Wouldn't even call it that.

Subtropical Cloud swirl.

Stratusxpeye · #127 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:50 am

(Edit Removed) Sorry. I Looked, I skipped over the advisories thread

#128 Postby **wjs3** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:52 am

I think the question now becomes how long to stick with it before discontinuing advisories on what is essentially just a remnant swirl.

#129 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:52 am

Advisories are being posted at the advisories thread at the top of the forum.

#130 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:54 am

STD lol

punkyg · #131 Postby **punkyg** » Thu May 10, 2007 9:57 am

I have not looked, but have any computer models showed any storms form in the up coming weeks?

in case you don't know i'm home today yay!

#132 Postby **tailgater** » Thu May 10, 2007 10:04 am

A little off topic, are these showers developing north of Lake City or is the radar just picking up smoke from the nearby large fires
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

#133 Postby **wjs3** » Thu May 10, 2007 10:06 am

Those look like the smoke plumes to me.

#134 Postby **tailgater** » Thu May 10, 2007 10:10 am

wjs3 wrote:Those look like the smoke plumes to me.

Yeah that's what I thought too, couldn't be lucky enough to get rain where it's most needed

#135 Postby **drezee** » Thu May 10, 2007 10:41 am

Andrea is almost done, but...

now that the midlevel low has moved away far enough and the SE quad is over 79-81 degree water. There is a chance that the SE quad could refired this afternoon as one last horray.

TampaSteve · #136 Postby **TampaSteve** » Thu May 10, 2007 10:48 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Nothing would make me happier than a HUGE blow-up of
massive Rain-Packed Convection that hits
the coast and puts those fires out

Come On Rainy Convection!!! Crank it up
WHOHOO heres to hopin for some rain!!!!!

WERD...we need a good tropical soaking right about now...

#137 Postby **drezee** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:01 am

I must make a statement about Andrea as well:

Even though it has weakened as far as winds. The low level structure looks better than ever. Also stations now reporting 10 minute sustained winds of 31-kts and gusts to 35 kts.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SAUF1

Just to let you know...

ONE-MINUTE MEAN = 1.14 * TEN-MINUTE MEAN = 35.3kts = 40.6 mph

Reference:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/~chu/chap6/se200.htm

Don't flame me...just a comment.

cpdaman · #138 Postby **cpdaman** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:03 am

IT
IS WORTH NOTING THAT ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS FARTHER NORTH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
IN ABOUT THREE DAYS.

per NHC discussion

okay maybe a transition to another subtropical system in the future

#139 Postby **drezee** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:09 am

Another point TS gusts on land:

St. Augustine Airport 11:50 Smoke and Windy 75 66 74 N 29 G 40 29.83

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/forecasts/FLZ033.php?zo=1

chadtm80 · #140 Postby **chadtm80** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:10 am

Stratusxpeye wrote:(Edit Removed) Sorry. I Looked, I skipped over the advisories thread

cycloneye wrote::uarrow: Advisories are being posted at the advisories thread at the top of the forum.

No need to be sorry stratusxpeye..

To Clarify the advisory thread at the top of the forum is for reference purposes only.. A mod will post the advisories there and keep the thread locked. Its so members can just go there and find the advisory to view without having to scroll through 25 pages in the discussion thread to find it.. However anyone can still post it in the main storm discussion thread and discuss it there as well. So you actually did nothing wrong :-)

Hope this clears things up and I made sense.. If not let me know :-)

Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

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