NotSparta wrote:LarryWx wrote:NotSparta wrote:
Looks like a nor'easter to me, the way it interacts with the jet leads me to believe it's at the very least totally extratropical
With it forming on the 6Z GFS over 29-30 C waters east of NC by Tuesday and with it then staying over 29-30 C SSTs for 12 hours afterward along with waters that don't get below 26 C til off of central NJ (40N), I disagree that this is totally extratropical as depicted on the 6Z GFS.
This evolution in the upper levels suggests it's anything but tropical. Looks about as you'd expect for a nor'easter type storm. Those waters might mean it has nice convection in spots but it still looks extratropical
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/661421636003823632/1008044802585137262/phasing_troughs.gif
That looks subtropical, not extra tropical. That’s 200mb air levels. Only powerful tropical systems appear in the 200mb air levels. I think this will have a warm core at the surface with baroclinic forcing taking place towards the end of the cyclone’s life.