Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea (Is Invest 92L)

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srainhoutx
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#141 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Aug 03, 2010 9:22 am

MJO is moving away from an unfavorable octant. Almost on 'cue' the Tropics are responding. I suspect an Invest will be tagged a bit later for this disturbance.
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#142 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 9:49 am

Image

Image

over the past 24 hours, the vorticity has been moving just north of west and an anticyclone continues to develop over the disturbance
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#143 Postby NOLA2010 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:05 am

This wave has come together really nicely after pulling away from SA. Should be tagged an invest soon
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#144 Postby JPmia » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:13 am

can someone post a MJO graphic/map? Thanks!
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#145 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:15 am

JPmia wrote:can someone post a MJO graphic/map? Thanks!



http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/precip ... /mjo.shtml
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#146 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:17 am

JPmia wrote:can someone post a MJO graphic/map? Thanks!


Image
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#147 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:20 am

Image

Unlike Colin, the shear looks good for this system
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#148 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:31 am

I think this wave is definitely something to keep our eyes on. Shear is low and temps are high. It looks like the area it is in and ahead of it could be conducive for some development.
This may be more of a threat than Colin, and may sneak up on folks who have been busy watching the more "obvious" storm. This could be a gulf tracker, and so impact someone CONUS.
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#149 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:38 am

I don't think there's anything there.
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#150 Postby rockyman » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:39 am

12z GFS is running:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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#151 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:40 am

Station 42059

Code: Select all

Continuous Winds TIME
(ADT)  WDIR  WSPD
11:50 am ESE ( 114 deg ) 26.8 kts
11:40 am ESE ( 106 deg ) 21.0 kts
11:30 am E ( 84 deg ) 15.9 kts
11:20 am E ( 85 deg ) 15.7 kts
11:10 am E ( 86 deg ) 17.5 kts
11:00 am E ( 83 deg ) 17.1 kts


Pressures aren't decreasing but winds have reached 29 knots and gusts 35 knots.

Link - http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42059
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Re: Wave over eastern Caribbean Sea

#152 Postby chzzdekr81 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:54 am

Sanibel wrote:I don't think there's anything there.

What do you mean?
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#153 Postby chzzdekr81 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:57 am

Lookin' pretty good.
Last edited by chzzdekr81 on Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#154 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:02 am

chzzdekr81, that was yesterday. The other runs after have been different
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#155 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:03 am

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48 hours and much further south
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#156 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:05 am

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landfall in Nicaragua in 66 hours
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#157 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:19 am

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Inland in 78 hours
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#158 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:22 am

GFS was a joke yesterday..yesterday had a hurricane moving into a ridge. :roll:
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#159 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:22 am

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60 hours ... NAM ... similar to GFS and then takes the system NW into the Gulf of Honduras
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#160 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:24 am

Image

loop
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