Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

Stormavoider · #141 Postby **Stormavoider** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:12 am

cpdaman wrote:IT
IS WORTH NOTING THAT ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS FARTHER NORTH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
IN ABOUT THREE DAYS.

per NHC discussion

okay maybe a transition to another subtropical system in the future

Somethings brewing just off the Chesapeke Bay.
NASA loop

#142 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:12 am

Andrea, was nice meeting you. Already the 2007 season is special!!!

Coredesat · #143 Postby **Coredesat** » Thu May 10, 2007 11:42 am

cpdaman wrote:okay maybe a transition to another subtropical system in the future

Not likely, given that a front will finally be pushing through in a couple days.

Stormavoider wrote:Somethings brewing just off the Chesapeke Bay.
NASA loop

Looks like that's another strong coastal low that was progged by the models. The models also take it out to sea, so it shouldn't really be looked at as a candidate for the next storm. The models also keep it deeply cold-core. :wink:

#144 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Thu May 10, 2007 12:04 pm

Andrea still looks very orginized for a Depression.

#145 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:21 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #146 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:24 pm

Hurakan you have the absolute best graphics I have
seen!!!!

#147 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:29 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Hurakan you have the absolute best graphics I have
seen!!!!

Thanks.

You could say I'm very creative or at least I try.

#148 Postby **P.K.** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:30 pm

Sure you mean Ivan as the last storm there? :wink:

#149 Postby **AnnularCane** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:34 pm

She's beautiful.

Yes, what is that about Ivan?

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #150 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:37 pm

Hey Everyone I found a velocity radar of Andrea
out of east central Florida!!!

Velocity Radar of Andrea showing perhaps 20-25 kt winds:
Go here, find "Velocity:" on the left menu and Click "Base" under it.
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 11&loop=no

Some Rain is sweeping Florida's east coast as well.

#151 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:42 pm

P.K. wrote:Sure you mean Ivan as the last storm there?

Last: Storm before actual. In this case, the last storm before Andrea was Isaac. Sorry, I got confused!!!

Next: Name that will be given to the next storm to form.

#152 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:45 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

looking with that with the "Radar" feature on, Andrea still seems to have some nice convection in it.

#153 Postby **curtadams** » Thu May 10, 2007 1:52 pm

Andrea is lofting some air near her center and you can see the resulting rainfall as a line pointing to the MLC. But it's pretty weak (nothing like even Alberto last year) and the shear is worsening. I expect even that tiny bit will get snuffed shortly.

#154 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 10, 2007 2:04 pm

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA (AL012007) 20070510 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070510 1800 070511 0600 070511 1800 070512 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.7N 79.8W 29.4N 79.8W 29.2N 79.8W 28.9N 79.4W
BAMD 29.7N 79.8W 29.0N 79.4W 29.0N 78.7W 29.8N 77.5W
BAMM 29.7N 79.8W 29.2N 79.7W 29.1N 79.7W 29.3N 79.4W
LBAR 29.7N 79.8W 29.5N 78.8W 30.0N 77.7W 30.7N 76.3W
SHIP 30KTS 30KTS 32KTS 34KTS
DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 32KTS 34KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070512 1800 070513 1800 070514 1800 070515 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.2N 78.5W 30.5N 73.4W 29.9N 64.5W 28.8N 57.8W
BAMD 31.1N 75.8W 35.6N 63.7W 45.0N 55.0W 49.4N 54.1W
BAMM 30.1N 78.6W 32.1N 71.6W 37.5N 54.1W 47.4N 48.5W
LBAR 31.5N 73.9W 33.1N 65.8W 34.8N 54.1W .0N .0W
SHIP 37KTS 48KTS 43KTS 38KTS
DSHP 37KTS 48KTS 43KTS 38KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.7N LONCUR = 79.8W DIRCUR = 180DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 30.5N LONM12 = 79.9W DIRM12 = 190DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 30.9N LONM24 = 79.8W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

skysummit,finnally a text comes out.

#155 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 10, 2007 3:49 pm

The end is near for Andrea.Read the 5 PM Advisory at the advisories thread at the top of the forum.

Link to advisories thread.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=94510

johngaltfla · #156 Postby **johngaltfla** » Thu May 10, 2007 3:54 pm

Stormcancel.

Next please.

And Barry, don't head where I'm heading in 4 weeks, hit someplace, like no place. Thank you very much.

Stratosphere747 · #157 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Thu May 10, 2007 4:00 pm

The NHC should go back to the policy prior to 2002. This IMO, should have never been named.

#158 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 10, 2007 4:01 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Stormcancel.

Next please.

And Barry, don't head where I'm heading in 4 weeks, hit someplace, like no place. Thank you very much.

You need to submit that request to the NHC and the process usually takes 2-3 weeks, so hurry up!!!

MiamiensisWx · #159 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu May 10, 2007 4:04 pm

I must disagree with the National Hurricane Center. This system is clearly a remnant low. I see no evidence of 30KT (35 mph) winds at the surface. In addition, convection is very sparse. The pressure gradient has weakened. The highest one-minute winds are likely isolated and do not exceed 25KT (30 mph). I'm only assuming these higher winds exist in small pockets; thus, it is possible that winds are below 30 mph. I'm surprised that the TPC didn't kill Andrea at the 5:00 p.m. EDT advisory.

#160 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu May 10, 2007 4:19 pm

ANDREA:

REMNANT LOW:

Andrea hasn't reached this point yet.

Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

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