TD #6 Central Atlantic,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[gatorcane]

I'm confused....what are the chances of any of these not being a fish?

[cinlfla]

Honestly I can't see where anyone would know just yet. Its really to soon to tell where this storm will go. You know a lot can happen with the environment around it.

[Thunder44]

I'm confused....what are the chances of any of these not being a fish?

90L which is the wave further east, is absorbing 98L and that wave will not develop. 90L is the wave that will probably develop into a TD later today or tonight.

As for the chances of any of these reaching the US, well 98L will soon no longer exist and it's way too early to tell what 90L will do. Although it appears likely that 90L will miss the islands to the north.

[Sanibel]

Like I surmised last night, 90L absorbed 98L.

90L is now obviously curling up into a cyclone.

Starting to lift north too.

[wxman57]

I don't think 90L absorbed 98L. 98L is near 11.5N/46.5w. You can clearly see a weak low-level spin there. 90L is WAY off to the east near 38W. That's 8.5 degrees separation. They're clearly two separate systems this morning, but 98L has no convection.

[Ola]

I don't think 90L absorbed 98L. 98L is near 11.5N/46.5w. You can clearly see a weak low-level spin there. 90L is WAY off to the east near 38W. That's 8.5 degrees separation. They're clearly two separate systems this morning, but 98L has no convection.

Yep look here

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

[HurricaneHunter914]

The TWO should be out soon, maybe they might upgrade this to a depression.

[El Nino]

I don't think 90L absorbed 98L. 98L is near 11.5N/46.5w. You can clearly see a weak low-level spin there. 90L is WAY off to the east near 38W. That's 8.5 degrees separation. They're clearly two separate systems this morning, but 98L has no convection.

Yep look here

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/198.jpg

This is clearly the signature of a TD IMO : big burst of convection spinning with banding.

[Ola]

I don't think 90L absorbed 98L. 98L is near 11.5N/46.5w. You can clearly see a weak low-level spin there. 90L is WAY off to the east near 38W. That's 8.5 degrees separation. They're clearly two separate systems this morning, but 98L has no convection.

Yep look here

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/198.jpg

This is clearly the signature of a TD IMO : big burst of convection spinning with banding.

Errr meant to post the loop url here it is

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

[rnbaida]

It is starting to look very good... I think we should have a TD by 5pm today... Anyone think so?

[Thunder44]

Too bad you're not interested in this storm!

Right now I do think this will be a fish but that is only my opinion and I could be very wrong.... I am still intesrested in the storm.

I don't think you really believe anything. I think you are just hoping and wishing it becomes a major hurricane and hits the US.

I admit it's not as exciting to watch a fish storm than one that threatens land. You don't have the recon missions, the surface obs, the interesting model runs, the discussions, the media hype, the panic. But it still does interests me because I'm so fascinated with hurricanes.

If this is a "fish storm" but became a major hurricane, it would be most exciting storm for me this season because all the other storms have really been so weak and pathetic looking.

[rnbaida]

Check out this nice close-up of the soon to be TD.

[WmE]

It is starting to look very good... I think we should have a TD by 5pm today... Anyone think so?

Agreed! It is looking really good!

[rnbaida]

Too bad you're not interested in this storm!

Right now I do think this will be a fish but that is only my opinion and I could be very wrong.... I am still intesrested in the storm.

I don't think you really believe anything. I think you are just hoping and wishing it becomes a major hurricane and hits the US.

I admit it's not as exciting to watch a fish storm than one that threatens land. You don't have the recon missions, the surface obs, the interesting model runs, the discussions, the media hype, the panic. But it still does interests me because I'm so fascinated with hurricanes.

If this is a "fish storm" but became a major hurricane, it would be most exciting storm for me this season because all the other storms have really been so weak and pathetic looking.

I agree that it is boring to watch weak storms but I would like to see a nice major hurricane come close to the US but then curve out to sea.... People would start to crap in their pants....

[WmE]

Too bad you're not interested in this storm!

Right now I do think this will be a fish but that is only my opinion and I could be very wrong.... I am still intesrested in the storm.

I don't think you really believe anything. I think you are just hoping and wishing it becomes a major hurricane and hits the US.

I admit it's not as exciting to watch a fish storm than one that threatens land. You don't have the recon missions, the surface obs, the interesting model runs, the discussions, the media hype, the panic. But it still does interests me because I'm so fascinated with hurricanes.

If this is a "fish storm" but became a major hurricane, it would be most exciting storm for me this season because all the other storms have really been so weak and pathetic looking.

I agree that it is boring to watch weak storms but I would like to see a nice major hurricane come close to the US but then curve out to sea.... People would start to crap in their pants....

Are you serious?

[Thunder44]

I don't think 90L absorbed 98L. 98L is near 11.5N/46.5w. You can clearly see a weak low-level spin there. 90L is WAY off to the east near 38W. That's 8.5 degrees separation. They're clearly two separate systems this morning, but 98L has no convection.

Yep look here

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

Yeah, I see it now it will probably dissapate, if not get absorbed.

[rnbaida]

Is there a chnace it could be a TD at 11am?

[cinlfla]

Too bad you're not interested in this storm!

Right now I do think this will be a fish but that is only my opinion and I could be very wrong.... I am still intesrested in the storm.

I don't think you really believe anything. I think you are just hoping and wishing it becomes a major hurricane and hits the US.

I admit it's not as exciting to watch a fish storm than one that threatens land. You don't have the recon missions, the surface obs, the interesting model runs, the discussions, the media hype, the panic. But it still does interests me because I'm so fascinated with hurricanes.

If this is a "fish storm" but became a major hurricane, it would be most exciting storm for me this season because all the other storms have really been so weak and pathetic looking.

I agree, I don't care if this thing moves north and never bothers anyone. However I will admit I do want to track a powerful hurricane in the Atlantic. I like the Atlantic storms because its more geographically friendly for me

[rnbaida]

Latest model tracks....

[JonathanBelles]

Is there a chnace it could be a TD at 11am?

slim but it might happen, but i dont think so.