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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#181 Postby chzzdekr81 » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:48 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:I use firefox...still IMAGE

Right click the image, and click copy image url, and paste in the address bar. The site doesn't have a security certificate, and a warning site will pop up. I just clicked proceed and looked at the image.
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#182 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:49 am

At this rate, the Euro will be out before the Canadian, it is coming out EXTREMELY slow...
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#183 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:58 am

Finally Canadian out and the same as the Nogaps, GFS and last night's Euro

Image
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#184 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:04 am

00z Model rundown..up next Euro..

Canadian

Image


GFS

Image

NOGAPS

Image
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#185 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:27 am

Even the 00Z UKMET is seeing this..out to 72 hours so far but has a 1008 closed low which is a start for the UKMET :P

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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#186 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:41 am

00z Euro stronger than the 12z run out to 144 hours, but not as aggressive as the other models so far

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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#187 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:42 am

now which wave is this exactly?
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#188 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:45 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:now which wave is this exactly?


This looks to be the wave coming off Africa now, behind the blob area

Image
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#189 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:45 am

thank you much
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#190 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:58 am

EDIT: Ivan beat me to it...
Last edited by Wx_Warrior on Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#191 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:58 am

Euro on board..just really wraps it up later but that's our wave 8-)

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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#192 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:00 am

00z Model rundown..all models on board...

Canadian

Image


GFS

Image

NOGAPS

Image

Euro

Image
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#193 Postby wxman22 » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:00 am

Euro develops it later down the road

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Image
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#194 Postby hurricanetrack » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:03 am

Here is UKMET text output:

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.07.2010

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.8N 31.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 31.07.2010 10.8N 31.5W WEAK
00UTC 01.08.2010 11.3N 32.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2010 12.4N 34.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2010 13.8N 36.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2010 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 290449
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#195 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:07 am

It has been a long time since I have seen all the models developing a Cape Verde system. I sense track wars soon :lol:

As of now The long range Canadian, GFS and Euro aim it at the U.S East coast but it is waaaaay to far out to speculate on that
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#196 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:13 am

I'm really not sure exactly which area the Euro is developing but it shows up in just 24 hours...around the area where the Blob is right now..

Image


Image
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#197 Postby TwisterFanatic » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:15 am

The bottom picture is in 24 hours? or the top one?
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Re:

#198 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:19 am

TwisterFanatic wrote:The bottom picture is in 24 hours? or the top one?


Top one 24 hours...bottom 240 hours
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#199 Postby BigA » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:20 am

00 WRF appears to be on board as well

http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/W ... f_slp.html
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Re: Wave emerging Africa=Models hint at development

#200 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:27 am

BigA wrote:00 WRF appears to be on board as well

http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/W ... f_slp.html


That gives a bit more detail of what all the models are developing...It looks to me there is a stretched out area of low pressure along the ITCZ currently from the Blob area to the coast of Africa and starts to consolidate around 30w in about 24 to 36 hours...

Extremely impressed tonight with all the models showing development...
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