2013 WPAC Season

[Typhoon Hunter]

21st Tropical Cyclone of the season has formed.

We might see the formation of our 22nd TC later today.

Exciting days ahead!

Not sure what data you're looking at but TS Fitow is 23rd named storm of the year!

[Hurricane_Luis]

21st Tropical Cyclone of the season has formed.

We might see the formation of our 22nd TC later today.

Exciting days ahead!

Not sure what data you're looking at but TS Fitow is 23rd named storm of the year!

21W is Wutip
22W is Sepat
23W is Fitow

And then models develop the next storm in the South China Sea.

[Extratropical94]

21st Tropical Cyclone of the season has formed.

We might see the formation of our 22nd TC later today.

Exciting days ahead!

Not sure what data you're looking at but TS Fitow is 23rd named storm of the year!

21W is Wutip
22W is Sepat
23W is Fitow

And then models develop the next storm in the South China Sea.

20W is Wutip, but JMA's number is 1321, so 21st storm
21W is Sepat, but JMA's number is 1322, so 22nd storm
22W is Fitow, but JMA's number is 1323, so 23rd storm

Things can get quite confusing with three storms at a time and one agency one number behind the other one.

[euro6208]

latest...

[euro6208]

aside from danas and fitow, euro showing a large monsoon type system developing in the philippine sea...

[Hurricane_Luis]

GFS develops two storms, both develop east of the Marianas Islands tracking west to affect Taiwan and the southern Japanese islands.

The next 2 names on the list are Nari and Wipha

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013100506/gfs_mslp_wind_wpac.html

[euro6208]

GFS develops two storms, both develop east of the Marianas Islands tracking west to affect Taiwan and the southern Japanese islands.

The next 2 names on the list are Nari and Wipha

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013100506/gfs_mslp_wind_wpac.html

Insane 12Z GFS run showing 3 potential typhoons developing near guam and taking a classic westward track across the philippine sea...

busy october...

[dexterlabio]

This is how one takes advantage of the MJO. Looks like TC genesis will be favored at least until the last week of October. I knew it the second half of the season will be active, the over strong STR the past few months was the one causing the low activity IMO.

[euro6208]

This is how one takes advantage of the MJO. Looks like TC genesis will be favored at least until the last week of October. I knew it the second half of the season will be active, the over strong STR the past few months was the one causing the low activity IMO.

STR as in subtropical ridge? what makes you think that was causing the low activity?

[euro6208]

22W Fitow = 90 knots 90 knots 9.4825
23W Danas = 65 knots 65 knots 1.3

Current Winds

Max Winds

ACE

Current Year to date

Western Pacific 116.642
Normal Year to date 206

We are catching up!

[dexterlabio]

Well I just noticed all the activity since Usagi has started when the ridge south of Japan let up a bit. And the over strong pressure from the ridge may have caused subsidence to tropical cyclones which limited further development. Now we have multiple significant cyclones in the basin all at once.

[dexterlabio]

If this year pulls off a 2006 or 2009 by the end of the year then we'll be able to catch up in terms of ACE. All we need is one long tracker typhoon.

[hurricanes1234]

Wide view of the wPac.



Typhoon Danas is located left of the center of the image. Maximum 1 minute sustained winds: 70 knots
Typhoon Fitow is located to the WNW of Danas. Maximum 1 minute sustained winds: 85 knots
Invest 99W is located to the top right of the image.
South of Danas lies an area of strong convection which just might become our next invest/storm here.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[mrbagyo]

GFS develops two storms, both develop east of the Marianas Islands tracking west to affect Taiwan and the southern Japanese islands.

The next 2 names on the list are Nari and Wipha

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013100506/gfs_mslp_wind_wpac.html

Insane 12Z GFS run showing 3 potential typhoons developing near guam and taking a classic westward track across the philippine sea...

busy october...

expect a strong and busy October to November.
i'm still expecting the strongest TC to form in October

[euro6208]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=K1VoevPFdfU

i know this is already in the fitow thread but the power of the storm is so amazing, i wanted to post it here too...

[euro6208]

a decrease in the environmental conditions and robust cyclone activity but so far can still support activity through december...

[euro6208]

models continue to show a very active pattern with 3 or 4 storms developing from this very large area extending to the dateline as the MJO remains stationary in our area...I can't imagine what the next el nino will do to our area...

[Hurricane_Luis]

models continue to show a very active pattern with 3 or 4 storms developing from this very large area extending to the dateline as the MJO remains stationary in our area...I can't imagine what the next el nino will do to our area...
http://i.imgur.com/Zk1vSRI.jpg?1

Absolutely, The Atlantic storm trackers must be crying, all they had was a naked swirl.

Next 6 names are: Nari, Wipha, Francisco, Lekima, Krosa and Haiyan

[euro6208]

91W Thread

[euro6208]

very active wpac ...

92W.INVEST
91W.INVEST
23W.DANAS

91W and 92W expected to become strong typhoons...90W has moved into the BOB...