96L Invest,E of Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

[GeneratorPower]

In the floater loop it's looking much better IMHO.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

[caribepr]

Im hoping it doesnt get too strong, but strong enough to remain intact until it makes landfall...

Just a reminder...there is a lot of *land*(we call them islands) between the current - and future for that matter - weather system and the coast of Texas, where *landfall* can occur in strong storm status and still do horrific damage.
In the meantime, I hope you get some rain for your drought situation.

[SouthFloridawx]

That's odd... there is nothing here for 96L

Atlantic Ocean Basin: Imagery

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM

NO CURRENT CLASSIFICATIONS

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

[cheezyWXguy]

Im hoping it doesnt get too strong, but strong enough to remain intact until it makes landfall...

Just a reminder...there is a lot of *land*(we call them islands) between the current - and future for that matter - weather system and the coast of Texas, where *landfall* can occur in strong storm status and still do horrific damage.
In the meantime, I hope you get some rain for your drought situation.

When I said landfall, I meant last landfall for good. Also, I agree with you about the fact that a strong TS can do a lot of damage, but I only want it to be a moderate storm, say, 50 mph at absolute most

[caribepr]

If you click on the image link, 96 comes up

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

No LLC=NO T Number. I'm hoping it develops one soon so we can get it upgraded!!!

[SouthFloridawx]

If you click on the image link, 96 comes up

I was referring to the Dvorak Classification for this system. But, thanks...

[caribepr]

Im hoping it doesnt get too strong, but strong enough to remain intact until it makes landfall...

Just a reminder...there is a lot of *land*(we call them islands) between the current - and future for that matter - weather system and the coast of Texas, where *landfall* can occur in strong storm status and still do horrific damage.
In the meantime, I hope you get some rain for your drought situation.

When I said landfall, I meant last landfall for good. Also, I agree with you about the fact that a strong TS can do a lot of damage, but I only want it to be a moderate storm, say, 50 mph at absolute most

Um...oh, never mind. It's only early July and I'm sure I'll have to have re-connective tongue surgery once again before it's all over.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The quickscats show no LLC or even a strong wave at the surface. The system should be moving slow enough for this to be good.

[MGC]

Even though 96L seems to be getting its act together, the road ahead is not that condusive to TC formation. The shear in the Caribbean is screaming. In another day or so 96L should start feeling the effects of the shear. Things are not looking good for 96L.......MGC

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

This still looks pretty good despite the shear ahead of it, but if you look at the latest loop this doesn't seem to be in a hurry.

[Extremeweatherguy]

JB expect this to reach the NW Caribbean by the weekend and then either move into Mexico or the Gulf.

[HurricaneHunter914]

He might be right, but the only way this can reach the GOM is if the shear in the NW Caribbean rapidly decreases.

[Jam151]

Lonely in the reality circle because everyone is in the crazy house tonight . I will admit that this system does look better and it has even shocked me with its improvement, but the enviroment ahead of the system is not right for development. I guess everyone can watch it if they want but i'm just so lonely in my reality circle, come on everyone break out of the crazy house and join in the reality circle, PLEASE!!!!

[HurricaneHunter914]

So you think we're crazy because we think this might develop? Because I think you're crazy that you don't give this storm a chance.

[GeneratorPower]

Reality circle? Why?

[GeneratorPower]

So you think we're crazy because we think this might develop? Because I think you're crazy that you don't give this storm a chance.

Yeah, man. What gives? What you got against tropical waves?

The preceeding has been a joke. This is only a joke.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Lonely in the reality circle because everyone is in the crazy house tonight . I will admit that this system does look better and it has even shocked me with its improvement, but the enviroment ahead of the system is not right for development. I guess everyone can watch it if they want but i'm just so lonely in my reality circle, come on everyone break out of the crazy house and join in the reality circle, PLEASE!!!!

I'm here stating facts...In yes the convection has developed around a surface low pressure area. In yes there is deeping shear at around 50 to 60 west because of a weakness between the two highs. Which should weaken over the next few days...While the ridge to the north rebuilds forcing the system to turn westward into the caribbean.

Also the Gfs holds the Anticyclone over the distrabance...So maybe it could be strong enough to push through. Cmc knocks it down...I will have another update when the 00z models come in. So stating its possible for some development is crazy? I don't think so the gfs been trying to close something off for the last few days. Yes the caribbean is very unfaverbale...Also the quickscats do not show a LLC heck they don't even show a strong tropical wave at the surface. But its a wait an see...

[HurricaneHunter914]

Jam151, you might aswell call the NHC crazy because they expect some slow development from this Invest too.

[mvtrucking]

So you think we're crazy because we think this might develop? Because I think you're crazy that you don't give this storm a chance.

Amen.