Southwest Caribbean action

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Honeyko

#21 Postby Honeyko » Mon Aug 11, 2008 5:06 pm

TWC needs to hire ugly old geezers who know what the hell they're talking about.
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Honeyko

Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#22 Postby Honeyko » Mon Aug 11, 2008 5:49 pm

There appears to be a mid-level circulation associated with the convection now, and we've had over twelve hours of persistent convection. IMO, time to invest.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#23 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Aug 11, 2008 6:37 pm

Cloud tops are warming, and it appears the center of the anticyclone aloft is very close to being overland in Colombia, putting this area in less than optimal shear.
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Praxus
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Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#24 Postby Praxus » Mon Aug 11, 2008 6:51 pm

Got a yellow...

995
ABNT20 KNHC 112342
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2008
...

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
...

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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CrazyC83
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#25 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 11, 2008 8:08 pm

Would they jump on this and call it 94L with only a yellow?
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Ed Mahmoud

Re:

#26 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Aug 11, 2008 8:59 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Would they jump on this and call it 94L with only a yellow?


Not unless it gets its deep convection back, I'd guess.
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Sanibel
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Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#27 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 11, 2008 9:03 pm

Looks like it was trying to spin before it lost its convection.
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Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#28 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Aug 12, 2008 12:07 pm

Central Caribbean looking pretty interesting right now:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/rb-l.jpg
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vbhoutex
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Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#29 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Aug 12, 2008 2:43 pm

It wasn't even mentioned in the latest TWO. That doesn't mean it shouldn't be watched, but NHC isn't expecting anything out of it at this time.
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lrak
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Re: Southwest Caribbean action

#30 Postby lrak » Tue Aug 12, 2008 6:50 pm

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057

buoy 29.84

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MNPC.html

Along the coast of Nicarague 29.80

Image nice convection

Image

But upper level conditions...ummm not so good?

Maybe tomorrow.
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