The trough that was keeping shear over the NW caribbean is lifting out and the wave looks like it s staying south of the big islands.
Looks like we may have something to watch by early next week. Glad we had a nice break after Ike though..
Wave entering the Windward Islands
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Re: Wave entering the Windward Islands
Weak spin close to the South American islands.
Obvious ULL forming in the northern Caribbean.
Obvious ULL forming in the northern Caribbean.
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Ed Mahmoud
Re: Wave entering the Windward Islands
Sanibel wrote:Weak spin close to the South American islands.
Obvious ULL forming in the northern Caribbean.
That ULL shears it now, but if this moves a bit slower than the ULL, the ULL goes from a shear killer to an outflow jet generator, and maybe induces a short wave ridge right over it.
Especially since that ULL looks like it is close to being cut-off, and not part of a larger trough.
But for now, it is pushing dry air and shear onto the ECarb wave.
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