GFS/NAM Develop a Closed Low in the GOM End of This Week

[brunota2003]

Impressive blob

[floridasun78]

so this donot look like it be any thing only area of storm

[AdamFirst]

Seems pretty impressive for a blob of thunderstorms.

[tailgater]

Should bring some nasty weather to Fla west coast around mid morning. IF it doesn't wan.

[Rainband]

what the heck is that, just got home and saw this comma coming towards us

[O Town]

Looks like its twin is following right behind. More rain in Floridas future. *sigh*

[wyq614]

CARIBBEAN SEA...
A 1008 MB LOW IS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 76W-79W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION W OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SEE
TROPICAL WAVE SECTION ABOVE. FRESH TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER PANAMA...COSTA
RICA...NICARAGUA...HISPANIOLA... AND PUERTO RICO. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...NW FLOW EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO TRINIDAD.
CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE SW AND NE
CARIBBEAN. EXPECT STRONGEST CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AND CUBA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2329.shtml?

This thing will come to W Cuba, too....

Amanecerá parcialmente nublado en gran parte del país principalmente en la costa norte occidental y en el extremo oriental. Al final de la mañana estará nublado en el occidente y después del mediodía en el resto del país, con numerosos chubascos y tormentas eléctricas que pueden ser fuertes en algunas localidades, principalmente en la región occidental.

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... o/ptrd.txt

[Emmett_Brown]

Looks like its twin is following right behind. More rain in Floridas future. *sigh*

It's almost like Texas has started generating tropical waves or something... on Satellite, it looks a lot like the mid level waves that come off of Africa. But, if you look at the water vapor image, it's clear that an upper level trough is kicking off the activity.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

[wyq614]

At 8:00 EST the squall line has entered the range of the radar of La Bajada, Cuba

[gatorcane]

Cool shot of what looks to be this blob putting "feelers" out over the West Coast of Florida...kindaof creepy:

[HURAKAN]

"Jaws theme"

[HURAKAN]

Weakening bigtime.

[HURAKAN]

[OuterBanker]

Looks like Fla will drop all their want ads for rainmakers and replace them with ark builders.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Is it because of developing El Nino that there are so many
impulses of convection on the subtropical jet?

[O Town]

Looks like Fla will drop all their want ads for rainmakers and replace them with ark builders.

LOL, you got that right.

[wyq614]

Havana experienced heavy thunderstorm at midday to around 14:30, it seems that the biggest convection now is located in the Havana and Matanzas Provinces of Cuba and its adjacent seas rather than Florida.

[KWT]

Quite possibly TBH, certainly looking like an active gulf though has to be said even though the first blob has weakened.

[cpdaman]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

looks like a low is initialized in the gulf ......any chance for any type of strengthening

[wyq614]

INSMET (Cuban Institute of Meteorology) says the showers and thunderstorms to continue tomorrow..