Tropical Wave west of Cape Verde

leanne_uk · #21 Postby **leanne_uk** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:32 pm

anyone got the latest sat pictures and wind speeds etc.. for this storm?

#22 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:40 pm

Latest

#23 Postby **StormTracker** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:43 pm

I wonder if it'll draw in some of that moisture behind that's still over land :idea:

#24 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:46 pm

leanne_uk wrote:anyone got the latest sat pictures and wind speeds etc.. for this storm?

Here's one with a few surface obs. 15kts in the area of convection. Just a weak low moving into a very dry environment for now. Most likely it won't make it.

leanne_uk · #25 Postby **leanne_uk** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:51 pm

thanks guys

i know the environmental conditions are not totall favourable Wx but is there still an outside chance in your opinion of it overcoming the dry air and continue to develop?

#26 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 5:18 pm

leanne_uk wrote:thanks guys i know the environmental conditions are not totall favourable Wx but is there still an outside chance in your opinion of it overcoming the dry air and continue to develop?

I'd agree with the NHC that it has less than 30% chance of developing in the next few days.

leanne_uk · #27 Postby **leanne_uk** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 5:30 pm

wxman57 wrote:
leanne_uk wrote:thanks guys i know the environmental conditions are not totall favourable Wx but is there still an outside chance in your opinion of it overcoming the dry air and continue to develop?

I'd agree with the NHC that it has less than 30% chance of developing in the next few days.

Thanks

#28 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:39 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED
MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

#29 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 8:30 pm

Latest

#30 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Sep 24, 2009 9:22 pm

Gustywind wrote:
gatorcane wrote:00Z GFS tracks it towards the NE Leewards.

Any links Gator Tkanks

Sure:

Gustywind · #31 Postby **Gustywind** » Fri Sep 25, 2009 5:14 am

gatorcane wrote:
Gustywind wrote:
gatorcane wrote:00Z GFS tracks it towards the NE Leewards.

Any links Gator Tkanks

Sure:

Tkanks Gatorcane i appreciate.

#32 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Sep 25, 2009 5:24 am

Looking good

Gustywind · #33 Postby **Gustywind** » Fri Sep 25, 2009 5:43 am

#34 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Sep 25, 2009 5:45 am

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS FROM 19N29W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 14N30W
TO 10N31W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF
A MOISTURE MAXIMUM AS INDICATED BY THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY WITH SAHARAN DUST BEING DRAWN INTO THE SURFACE LOW.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 27W-32W WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 26W-35W.

#35 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 25, 2009 5:46 am

Is invest 99L so thread is locked.Lets continue the discussions at the 99L thread at Active Storms forum.

Link to 99L thread.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=106694&p=1927373#p1927373

Tropical Wave west of Cape Verde

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