Wave behind Henri

[tailgater]

Ramdis has put a floater over it.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

[gatorcane]

This wave looks very impressive. I can't see how it will miss the Caribbean this time. It may be the first good wave in the Caribbean all season. Everything else has turned north prior to the Caribbean.

[BigA]

Looks quite solid...eager to see this evenings Quickscat if it covers the area. As for being too far south and/or crashing into South America (which I just realized is the continent where I am, even if I am thousands of miles away), I think this has enough of a northward component to avoid hitting South America. As for being too far south to take advantage of the Coriolis Effect, I don't think that should be that much of an issue either, as storms occassionally form from 8-10 north, which is where this is right now (and moving north of due west).

[HURAKAN]

Waiting for the magic of D-MAX

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

Looking better tonight. Code Orange at 8 PM?

[perk]

Looking better tonight. Code Orange at 8 PM?

I would'nt be surprised if there's a code orange on the next update.

[Gustywind]

Henri continues to weaken in the Atlantic
James Wilson, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
Oct. 7, 2009 5:30 pm ET
ATLANTIC
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/

Elsewhere, a tropical wave is located to the southeast of Henri about 750 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Although the chance for further development is unlikely at this time, expect the wave to spread rain over the central and southern Antilles as it moves through in about 24 to 48 hours.

[Gustywind]

[caribepr]

One going down (maybe) and another comes up...it's that time of year and we're watching closely

[leanne_uk]

got to agree, think we will have our code orange on this at the next update

[Emmett_Brown]

I don't recall seeing a wave in this area with this type of synoptic setup so far this season. Large H5 high forming to the north, and anticyclone over top of it, with the wave heading toward the Caribbean. While 2009 has kept these storms in check, could this one be the one that makes it through?

I smell invest.

[BigA]

If this consolidates near the recent burst, it should be far enough north to clear South America, though influence from dry air from the continent may still be a factor.

[Emmett_Brown]

Impressive divergence over the wave due to the anticyclone:

[IvanSurvivor]

Where is everyone??? Heeeelllllooooo out there...
This is as exciting as it's been all season and no one is here

[caribepr]

None are near the states yet (nope, not being sarcastic, but for all the *we love to watch the weather* posts, only a few hard core sorts not being affected -along with those who might be out here- really DO watch and post - I kinda like it myself! Less silliness, more facts, more learning).

[cycloneye]

They leaved it at code yellow.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM HENRI...LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 TO 20
MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[leanne_uk]

I am pretty suprised with that, guess we will have to wait and see what happens at the next update. I however have to get some sleep so I look forward to peeing where this is at in the morning

[punkyg]

I am pretty suprised with that, guess we will have to wait and see what happens at the next update. I however have to get some sleep so I look forward to peeing where this is at in the morning

do you mean to say "seeing" LOL!

any ways its looking quite good at this hour, with what looks like developing bands on the north west and south side. i'm guessing with the way its been organizing all day that we will have a invest by atleast some time tonight.

also I have a question, will the shear that is currently affecting Henri prohibit any further organization down the road?

[leanne_uk]

oh thats not good lol. Yeah I did mean seeing
Thats what I get for being half asleep and logging on with the mobile.
Stupid predictive text. Must pay more attention lol