2010 WPAC Season

[StormingB81]

I know! I have been kinda anxious after last season it was non stop and right now it is quiet....like the calm before the storm..whats this year going to bring after last year's 37 Storms! I wont be here in July Aug..wonder how much I will miss!

[Iune]

Their PAGASA names, I'm assuming, not their international ones.

Morakot, Parma, and Ketsana were retired along with Ondoy and Pepeng.

[Chacor]

That's interesting; in the past the typhoon committee has only considered names for retirement the season after; i.e. Typhoon Durian in 2006 was only retired at the December 2007 TC meeting.

[Iune]

From what I heard, the Typhoon Committee retired names every two years.

[Typhoon10]

All still very quiet. I do miss the excitement of the Invests, Warnings, etc. And would like to chase a Typhoon this year.

Hopefully June, July and August will give us plenty to post about

[Chacor]

2006 was the last year in which at 1200 UTC on June 3, we had had only one named storm. 2006 ended up with 23 named storms, 15 of which were typhoons. 2006 also saw Severe Tropical Storm Bilis and Typhoon Saomai, both deadly storms.

2001 was the last year in which at 1200 UTC on June 3, we had had no typhoons. 2001 ended up with 26 named storms, 16 of which were typhoons. 2001 also saw the formation in December of Tropical Storm Vamei, which at the time was the closest-forming tropical cyclone to the equator until Cyclone Agni in 2004.

[KWT]

Very interesting Chacor, of course 2006 was a developing El Nino which probably relaly helped the season out.

Certainly seems like a slow start to the season though doesn't it!

[Typhoon10]

As i have really never encountered a proper Typhoon, I would really like to experience one this year. Hopefully in HK or might Storm Chase somewhere.

Is almost Mid June, and still no action. What I am reading is August could be a very intense month

[cycloneye]

It continues very quiet in that basin after the mid March first storm. Typhoon10,do you only do chasing in that basin or you also come to the U.S or Caribbean to chase?

[Typhoon10]

It continues very quiet in that basin after the mid March first storm. Typhoon10,do you only do chasing in that basin or you also come to the U.S or Caribbean to chase?

I am very much a amateur, would just like to experience my 1st proper Typhoon. So it will be around here, ie, Philippines, Taiwan, etc

[Typhoon10]

Is getting a lot hotter in HK now. Definitely feels like the weather is more suitable for Invests/Typhoons now. I keep checking the forum everyday for someone announcing a Invest in WPAC!

[Chacor]

Still awfully quiet in the WPac with all the INVESTs poofing. Here's a table, using JMA data, on storm formation dates. In the past 20 years only thrice* has the second named storm formed later than today: 1998, which was an outlier, had the first named storm in July and the second on August 3; and 2006, when the second storm formed June 27. However, storm formation dates don't necessarily mean a season will be dead: last year we had only 22 storms despite having two in the first three days of May; in 2006 (when the second storm formed later than today) there were 27 storms.

*In 1992, the season got off to a fast start on January 6 with the first storm, but the next storm (9203, as the second storm was a CPac crossover - Ekeka) formed in June, on the 24th.

Code: Select all

YEAR   STORM 01   STORM 02   FINAL TOTAL
----------------------------------------------------
2010   MARCH 24         
2009   MAY   02   MAY   03   22 STORMS
2008   APRIL 15   MAY   07   31 STORMS
2007   APRIL 01   MAY   17   29 STORMS
2006   MAY   09   JUNE  27   27 STORMS
2005   JANRY 15   MARCH 15   23 STORMS
2004   APRIL 05   MAY   14   29 STORMS
2003   JANRY 18   APRIL 11   21 STORMS
2002   JANRY 12   FEBRY 28   26 STORMS
2001   MAY   11   JUNE  20   26 STORMS
2000   MAY   07   MAY   19   23 STORMS
1999   APRIL 23   APRIL 28   22 STORMS
1998   JULY  09   AUGST 03   16 STORMS
1997   APRIL 13   APRIL 23   28 STORMS
1996   FEBRY 29   APRIL 05   26 STORMS
1995   APRIL 29   JUNE  03   23 STORMS
1994   APRIL 01   MAY   13   36 STORMS
1993   MARCH 13   JUNE  21   28 STORMS   
1992   JANRY 06   FEBRY 03*  31 STORMS
1991   MARCH 07   MARCH 22   29 STORMS

*9202 WAS EKEKA, A CROSSOVER FROM THE CPAC. THE SECOND
:WPAC STORM TO FORM IN 1992 WAS BOBBIE, ON JUNE 24.

10AVG   MARCH 26   MAY   05   25.7 STORMS
- 10 YEAR AVERAGE FROM 2000 TO 2009

18AVG   MARCH 24   MAY   08   26.7 STORMS
- 18 YEAR AVERAGE FROM 1991 TO 2009, MINUS 1998 (OUTLIER)
- THE DATE AVERAGE TREATS 1992'S SECOND STORM AS BOBBIE,
: ON JUNE 24, RATHER THAN AS EKEKA ON FEBRUARY 3. THE STORM
: AVERAGE INCLUDES EKEKA.


[KWT]

The EPAC is currently exploding and the WPAC is quiet, right now the EPAC blows the WPAC and the Atl out of the water...

[Chacor]

EURO suggests a strong STS or TY near Japan around July 5.

[Typhoon10]

EURO suggests a strong STS or TY near Japan around July 5.

Really? You quote EURO, have you got a link so I can read? I hope its in laymans terms so a dunce like me can understand

[Chacor]

EURO = ECMWF model; it's in graphic form. It no longer shows on the latest EURO.

[cycloneye]

Here is the link to the ECMWF.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 0062700!!/

[Chacor]

For the record, this was what it showed:

[KWT]

Yep not showing anything into July now, we really are getting on for a slow start now...

Just because I'm curious, what is the slowest WPAC season ever?

[Chacor]

Yep not showing anything into July now, we really are getting on for a slow start now...

Just because I'm curious, what is the slowest WPAC season ever?

In recent history, 1998 had only 16 TS (JMA total), with the first storm in June and the second in July.