2010 retired hurricanes

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 22, 2010 2:19 pm

Tstormwatcher wrote:Alex, Atlantic side, maybe but none of the others warrent retirement.

Agatha definitely in the Pacific.


Dean, 2007, was retired while causing $1.5 billion. Karl has already caused $3.9 billion.
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Re: Re:

#22 Postby Tstormwatcher » Thu Sep 23, 2010 7:16 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Tstormwatcher wrote:Alex, Atlantic side, maybe but none of the others warrent retirement.

Agatha definitely in the Pacific.


Dean, 2007, was retired while causing $1.5 billion. Karl has already caused $3.9 billion.


Dean was a cat 5 storm that cause tremendous damage thru-out the Carribean. Thats why it was retired.
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#23 Postby Macrocane » Thu Sep 23, 2010 7:33 pm

I don't think the category plays a big role in the retirement of a name, but certainly the most countries affected means a higher probability of retirement, anyway Karl has caused more damage than other storms like Isidore for example.
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#24 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 27, 2010 5:14 pm

Alex --> Armando

Karl --> Konrad

Agatha --> Alexis
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#25 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Sep 29, 2010 10:07 pm

I know many will disagree, but I think Igor should be retired due to the amount of damage he caused in Newfoundland. Igor's been described as the worst hurricane in memory to hit Newfoundland.
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 29, 2010 10:10 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Alex --> Armando

Karl --> Konrad

Agatha --> Alexis


Alex replaced Andrew, so it has to be an English name that replaces Alex
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#27 Postby Macrocane » Wed Sep 29, 2010 10:17 pm

:uarrow: Not really, Paloma is Spanish and was replaced with Paulette, Ike is...well I don't know but was replaced with the Spanish Isaias.
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#28 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 29, 2010 10:20 pm

Macrocane wrote::uarrow: Not really, Paloma is Spanish and was replaced with Paulette, Ike is...well I don't know but was replaced with the Spanish Isaias.


I thought the rule was that if the name was English, it had to be replaced by an English name.
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#29 Postby Cleveland Kent Evans » Wed Sep 29, 2010 10:22 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Macrocane wrote::uarrow: Not really, Paloma is Spanish and was replaced with Paulette, Ike is...well I don't know but was replaced with the Spanish Isaias.


I thought the rule was that if the name was English, it had to be replaced by an English name.


No, that can't be "the rule" because it certainly didn't operate for the names replaced after 2008. See my post on the first page of this thread. :D
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#30 Postby AussieMark » Thu Sep 30, 2010 6:06 am

Macrocane wrote::uarrow: Not really, Paloma is Spanish and was replaced with Paulette, Ike is...well I don't know but was replaced with the Spanish Isaias.


Ike must of had a Spanish pronunciation as he was the Isidore replacement
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#31 Postby Cleveland Kent Evans » Thu Sep 30, 2010 8:09 am

AussieMark wrote:
Macrocane wrote::uarrow: Not really, Paloma is Spanish and was replaced with Paulette, Ike is...well I don't know but was replaced with the Spanish Isaias.


Ike must of had a Spanish pronunciation as he was the Isidore replacement


Oh, come on, you aren't paying attention.

Plus Isidore is the French and English form of that name. The Spanish forms are Isidoro and Isidro. :D
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#32 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu Sep 30, 2010 9:20 am

The name Isaias was chosen because we're running out of male I names. The get continually more obscure.

Alex, Karl, and Matthew all have firm cases for retirement, and I would be surprised to see any of these 3 on the 2016 naming list.
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#33 Postby KWT » Thu Sep 30, 2010 10:13 am

I'd be somewhat surprisied if Matthew gets retired, Alex has a decent shot and Karl will have a 85-90% chance of being retired given the damage its done to several countries throuhout Central America.
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#34 Postby gilbert88 » Thu Sep 30, 2010 9:20 pm

Alex and Karl are 99% likely to be retired, as they are both by far the worst cyclones to affect Mexico since Wilma. Both were way worse in terms of damage than cat. 5 Dean... that should tell you something.

Matthew will probably stay on the list, as it was nowhere as awful as Stan in terms of life loss and most people in CA will think of Agatha and Karl when they think of this year's floods anyway.

I still think there's be another late retired name a la Wilma/Noel/Paloma.

Perhaps Otto?
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#35 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 01, 2010 10:45 am

My estimated chance of retirement for all names so far:

Alex: 80%

Bonnie: 2%

Colin: <2%

Danielle: 2%

Earl: 20%

Fiona: <2%

Gaston: <2%

Hermine: 10%

Igor: 25%

Julia: <2%

Karl: 75%

Lisa: <2%

Matthew: 20%

Nicole: 5%

-----------------

Agatha: 70%

All other EPAC names: <5%
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#36 Postby smithandrewskij978 » Fri Nov 05, 2010 2:13 am

If "Igor" is retired, what do you think of replacing it with the name "Ian"?
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#37 Postby abajan » Fri Nov 05, 2010 5:40 am

CrazyC83 wrote:My estimated chance of retirement for all names so far:

Alex: 80%

Bonnie: 2%

Colin: <2%

Danielle: 2%

Earl: 20%

Fiona: <2%

Gaston: <2%

Hermine: 10%

Igor: 25%

Julia: <2%

Karl: 75%

Lisa: <2%

Matthew: 20%

Nicole: 5%...


Tomas: >99%
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#38 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:03 am

I add Tomas 100% retired.
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#39 Postby HurrikaneBryce » Fri Nov 05, 2010 4:03 pm

Alex
Karl
Matthew
Tomas
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Re: 2010 retired hurricanes

#40 Postby Ad Novoxium » Fri Nov 05, 2010 4:28 pm

Alex (Mexico), Igor (Newfoundland), Karl (Mexico), Matthew (Central America and Mexico), and Tomas (Lesser Antilles and Haiti) seem to be the ones most likely to go from the Atlantic (tying the 2005 record) while Agatha (and to a much lesser degree Frank) seem likely in the EPac (if Frank is retired with Agatha, then 2010 will be the year with the most retired EPac proper names).

As for Igor's name replacement should it go, I'm wondering if the Hebrew meaning of the Russian name Ilya may block it, because that's my personal favorite replacement.
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