2011 ACE:N.Atlantic: 123.812 / EPAC:121.808 / WPAC: 207.005

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#21 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 13, 2011 2:24 pm

Based on the JTWC advisories (I know they aren't the RSMC, but since their advisories are in the same 1-min average standard as the ACE is calculated in the Atlantic and EPAC, I figured I'd use them for consistency), here are the numbers for 2011:

Code: Select all

Aere   (1101/03W)  3.3550
Songda (1102/04W) 25.3650
Sarika (1103/05W)  0.4900
Haima  (1104/06W)  1.4700
Meari  (1105/07W)  3.6500
Ma-on  (1106/08W)  1.3425 * Through Advisory 009
=========================
2011              35.6725
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic:1.75 / EPAC: 17.2875 / WPAC: 35.6725

#22 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 18, 2011 5:56 am

Who wants to help me updating the WPAC ACE? :)

Atlantic ACE with Bret

Code: Select all

Season TotalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 0.1225
Total  1.75
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic:1.75 / EPAC: 17.2875 / WPAC: 35.6725

#23 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 18, 2011 5:44 pm

Atlantic ACE update with TS Bret at 55kts on 21z

Who wants to help me updating the WPAC ACE numbers?

Code: Select all

02L.BretAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 17 July 5 pm EDT 30 0
2 17 July 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
3 18 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
4 18 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
5 18 July 5 pm EDT 55 0.3025
Total       0.83

 
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 0.8300
Total  2.4575


EPAC ACE update with TS Dora at 40kts on 21z

Code: Select all

04E.DoraAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 18 July 8 am PDT 30 0
2 18 July 2 pm PDT 40 0.1600
Total       0.16

 
01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 0.1600
Total  17.4475
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic:2.4575 / EPAC: 17.4475 / WPAC: 35.6725

#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2011 10:08 am

Atlantic ACE update as of 11 AM EDT advisory at 45kts from TS Bret

Code: Select all

02L.BretAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 17 July 5 pm EDT 30 0
2 17 July 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
3 18 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
4 18 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
5 18 July 5 pm EDT 55 0.3025
6 18 July 11 pm EDT 50 0.2500
7 19 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 19 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
Total       1.485

[b][size=150]


Atlantic ACE Update

Code: Select all

Atlantic Basin Update[/size][/b]
 
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 1.4850
Total  3.1125
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic:3.1125 / EPAC: 17.4475 / WPAC: 35.6725

#25 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2011 10:11 am

Who wants to bring the WPAC ACE numbers?

EPAC ACE update as of 8 AM PDT advisory on TS Dora at 60kts

Code: Select all

04E.DoraAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 18 July 8 am PDT 30 0
2 18 July 2 pm PDT 40 0.1600
3 18 July 8 pm PDT 50 0.2500
4 19 July 2 am PDT 55 0.3025
5 19 July 8 am PDT 60 0.3600
Total       1.0725



EPAC ACE update

Code: Select all

01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 1.0725
Total  18.36
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re:

#26 Postby Macrocane » Tue Jul 19, 2011 10:28 am

Same as senorpepr I used JTWC for consistency with ATL and EPAC so Tokage is not included as it was a TD according to JTWC.

Code: Select all

Aere   (1101/03W)  3.3550
Songda (1102/04W) 25.3650
Sarika (1103/05W)  0.4900
Haima  (1104/06W)  1.4700
Meari  (1105/07W)  3.6500
Ma-on  (1106/08W)  22.038 * Through Advisory 33
=========================
2011              56.358
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 3.1125 / EPAC: 18.36 / WPAC: 56.358

#27 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2011 10:36 am

Thank you Marcocane for posting the WPAC.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 3.1125 / EPAC: 18.36 / WPAC: 56.358

#28 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2011 8:27 pm

Bret Updated ACE at 5 PM EDT advisory

Code: Select all

02L.BretAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 17 July 5 pm EDT 30 0
2 17 July 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
3 18 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
4 18 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
5 18 July 5 pm EDT 55 0.3025
6 18 July 11 pm EDT 50 0.2500
7 19 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 19 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
9 19 July 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
Total       1.6875


North Atlantic ACE update

Code: Select all

01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 1.6875
Total  3.315
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 3.315 / EPAC: 18.36 / WPAC: 56.358

#29 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2011 8:31 pm

Dora ACE update at 2 PM PDT

Code: Select all

04E.DoraAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 18 July 8 am PDT 30 0
2 18 July 2 pm PDT 40 0.1600
3 18 July 8 pm PDT 50 0.2500
4 19 July 2 am PDT 55 0.3025
5 19 July 8 am PDT 60 0.3600
6 19 July 2 pm PDT 60 0.3600
Total       1.4325


Eastern Pacific ACE update

Code: Select all

01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 1.4325
Total  18.72
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 3.315 / EPAC: 18.72 / WPAC: 56.358

#30 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2011 5:58 am

BRET ACE update at 5 AM EDT

Bret surpasses Arlene.

Code: Select all

02L.BretAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 17 July 5 pm EDT 30 0
2 17 July 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
3 18 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
4 18 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
5 18 July 5 pm EDT 55 0.3025
6 18 July 11 pm EDT 50 0.2500
7 19 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 19 July 11 am EDT 45 0.2025
9 19 July 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
10 19 July 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
11 20 July 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
Total       2.0925


Atlantic ACE update

Code: Select all

01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 2.0925
Total  3.72
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 3.72 / EPAC: 18.72 / WPAC: 56.358

#31 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2011 6:01 am

DORA ACE update

Code: Select all

04E.DoraAdv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 18 July 8 am PDT 30 0
2 18 July 2 pm PDT 40 0.1600
3 18 July 8 pm PDT 50 0.2500
4 19 July 2 am PDT 55 0.3025
5 19 July 8 am PDT 60 0.3600
6 19 July 2 pm PDT 60 0.3600
7 19 July 8 pm PDT 65 0.4225
Total       1.855


EPAC ACE update

Code: Select all

01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 1.8550
Total  19.1425
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 3.72 / EPAC: 19.1425 / WPAC: 56.358

#32 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2011 6:29 pm

Atlantic ACE update as of 5 PM advisories on Bret and Cindy

Code: Select all

Season TotalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 2.4550
03L (Cindy) Operational 0.1225
Total  4.205
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 4.205 / EPAC: 19.1425 / WPAC: 56.358

#33 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2011 6:32 pm

East Pacific ACE update as of 2 PM PDT advisory on Dora

Code: Select all

Season totalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 3.9850
Total  21.2725
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 4.205 / EPAC: 21.2725 / WPAC: 56.358

#34 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2011 10:23 pm

Atlantic ACE update at 11 PM EDT

Code: Select all

Season TotalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 2.5755
03L (Cindy) Operational 0.3250
Total  4.528
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 4.528 / EPAC: 21.2725 / WPAC: 56.358

#35 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2011 10:24 pm

East Pacific ACE update at 8 PM PDT

Code: Select all

Season totalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 5.3075
Total  22.595
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 4.528 / EPAC: 22.595 / WPAC: 56.358

#36 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2011 10:24 am

Atlantic ACE update as of 11 AM EDT Advisories on Bret and Cindy

Code: Select all

Season TotalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 2.8225
03L (Cindy) Operational 0.8250
Total  5.275
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 5.275 / EPAC: 22.595 / WPAC: 56.358

#37 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2011 10:26 am

East Pacific ACE update as of 8 AM PDT advisory on Dora

Code: Select all

Season totalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 8.5700
Total  25.8575
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 5.275 / EPAC: 25.8575 / WPAC: 56.358

#38 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 22, 2011 4:43 am

ATLANTIC ACE update at 5 AM EDT

Code: Select all

Season TotalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arlene) Operational 1.6275
02L (Bret) Operational 2.9450
03L (Cindy) Operational 1.4800
Total  6.0525

[edit]
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2011 ACE: N.Atlantic: 6.0525 / EPAC: 25.8575 / WPAC: 56.358

#39 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 22, 2011 4:45 am

East Pacific ACE update at 2 AM PDT

Code: Select all

Season totalStorm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01E (Adrian) Operational 11.8600
02E (Beatriz) Operational 2.9975
03E (Calvin) Operational 2.4300
04E (Dora) Operational 12.2800
Total  29.5675

[edit]
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Re:

#40 Postby Macrocane » Fri Jul 22, 2011 12:36 pm

WPAC ACE

Here's the WPAC ACE now that the final warning Ma-On has been released..

Code: Select all

Aere   (1101/03W)  3.3550
Songda (1102/04W) 25.3650
Sarika (1103/05W)  0.4900
Haima  (1104/06W)  1.4700
Meari  (1105/07W)  3.6500
Ma-on  (1106/08W)  23.75
=========================
2011              58.07
Last edited by Macrocane on Wed Aug 03, 2011 10:52 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 26 guests