Wave in Eastern Atlantic (Is Invest 98L)

[colbroe]

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

[colbroe]

A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED SE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR
11N20W. A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS N FROM THE LOW TO 21N17W. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
NEAR THE LOW CENTER FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 18W-26W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

[SouthFloridawx]

[otowntiger]

Ok southfloridawx what am I looking at? Where's this system on that graphic? Does it go poof? TIA.

[rainstorm]

what does the euro do with it? oz canadian didnt develop it. its back on the 12z

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=144hr

[Hurricane Alexis]

You can see it approaching the lesser antilles towards the end of the 12z HWRF and GFDL.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

[Hurricane Alexis]

The 12z Euro has shifted further west than the 0z run.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

[blp]

The 12z Euro has shifted further west than the 0z run.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

Yes it has and is stronger but still has it recurving. We also saw this early on with Issac. I think it will keep shifting west.

[blp]

CMC shows no recurve in 7 days. Considering its right bias this year that should tell you something.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[rainstorm]

if it develops it should be a threat.

[stormandan28]

If the gfs pans out the central and northern islands could be affected in 5 days.

[Hurricane Alexis]

GFS at 216 hours. Possibly another Isaac?



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[jlauderdal]

[quote="Hurricane Alexis"]GFS at 216 hours. Possibly another Isaac?

ridge looks locked down, decent chance of making it across

[Hurricane Alexis]

GFS at 216 hours. Possibly another Isaac?

ridge looks locked down, decent chance of making it across

Making it across the GOM or the caribbean?

[rainstorm]

yah!! another isaac, lol

[cycloneye]

8 PM TWO.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH.

[StormTracker]

GFS at 216 hours. Possibly another Isaac?

ridge looks locked down, decent chance of making it across

Can you post a pic or a site that can be referred to, to explain what your'e saying please I don't want to take all my shutters down if I don't have to ...thx...ST

[JPmia]

Wait until some of the Isaac posters see these runs.. this thread will get a lot more busy!

[Hurricane Alexis]

Wait until some of the Isaac posters see these runs.. this thread will get a lot more busy!

Agreed most likely in a few days when Isaac is gone and this is an invest.

[Jevo]

Well the since the model thread in Isaac is pointless now, unless one of em just goes off the reservation... Time to watch another long tracker...

I saw this pop up in the GFS when I was looking at Isaac's remnants raking Greenland..... So if anyone wants to freak out the already wound up N-GOMers

Tell em the GFS sends this in 2 weeks