Post your local Mets comments on Isabelle

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

This is my local weather stations map:
http://hurricane.wcsc.com/graphics/show ... p&storm=13

[JustinFTL]

Bryan Norcross (Miami Channel 4) said that he expects **some kind of effects from the storm next week** but it is too early to tell which part of the state. Interesting note from him though even though it is too early.

[Josephine96]

Channel 9 met here in Orlando just used those words when he was describing Isabel's projected path.

Channel 6 met stated "we just have to sit back and watch.."

Concern from 1 but not from another..?

[Derek Ortt]

I will not be monitoring anything that the local TV mets have to say about this system. 1. I really don't need to be told how to think as this system appears to be an easy call 2. If I ever had to make a call, which I may, I do not want to be biased in any way, shape, or form by the thoughts of a TV met, who may not be giving the most scientific reasoning, but a ratings hype, as often goes on. Maybe someone else could post the Miami TV thoughts, lol

[jfaul]

I will not be monitoring anything that the local TV mets have to say about this system. 1. I really don't need to be told how to think as this system appears to be an easy call 2. If I ever had to make a call, which I may, I do not want to be biased in any way, shape, or form by the thoughts of a TV met, who may not be giving the most scientific reasoning, but a ratings hype, as often goes on. Maybe someone else could post the Miami TV thoughts, lol

dont be so cynical derek..you dont think jackie johnson is studying the maps for tomorrows broadcast.

Basically,
they are saying nothing...they all show the 5 day cone and then show the North the west and the flroida straits track so they aren't telling us anything we don't know..in fact we do know it is highly unlikely it will track through the straits or cuba so that option is off the table as far as i am concerned. Now norcross did say that the 5 day cone will inc h closer and by sunday we will be in it if not sooner so be prepared to see that. steadham and kamal were more low key but steadham did say check your supplies now and dont wait till next week as you should have been prepared anyway. i suspect about friday the hype gets going since we all know this thing will still be heading at sofla and by then we should have a decent idea of what isn't going to happen so we can narrow some things down.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Anyone.....what are the chances of it hitting S.C.

0%-100%??

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Also.....my local weatherman was in Lowes forecasting the weather and he was standing in front of chainsaws and generators....lol....now if that isn't sending a subliminal message!

[deb_in_nc]

One of our local mets is just saying that it's still 1800 miles away from West Palm. We probably know more than they're telling us, anyway. I'm going to be doing some supply shopping again this weekend. I certainly hope we don't need it.

Debbie

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

I went ahead and got some more things today. Did'nt want to be in a possible mess next week!

[rainydaze]

Deb in Fla

Since you live in Lantana and I in WPB we probably have the
same news guys LOL

I mostly watch John Matthews because I like him the most.
I heard the same as you today. He is mostly emphasizing
the distance from us. Almost like he's trying to get people
not to panic (at this time). but I did notice it was at the top of the 5:00 news.

[Josephine96]

I usually watch Tom Sorrels and Channel 6 here in Orlando, but when a hurricane is threatening.. I like to flip between the channels and see the opinions...

Right now, Tom Terry {our channel 9 met} seems to be the most concerned about Isabel..

[KeyLargoDave]

TWC leads off the 9pm ET Weather Center with Isabel and the headline that "everybody on the East Coast needs to pay attention to this very dangerous hurricane."

Very curious to hear what Don Noe and Norcross have to say at 11 tonight. I imagine they'll mention it at the top of the newscast but then cut to a murder or some other local mayhem.

[KeyLargoDave]

NBC6: Isabel is the lead, the anchor mentions "three possible paths the storm could take..."
Emphasizing that the storm will probably miss the Leewards...
pressure down 7Mb "a pretty significant drop"
Shows the vapor loop and points out the flow around the high, so the system is going to have to keep going due west..."by Sunday we begin to assess the threat to the United States."

WSVN (7): Isabel leads: "Hurricane Isabel makes a slight change in course, good news for the Caribbean..."

Bill Kamal discusses the importance of the high pressure on the track -- if there is a weakness, the storm could go north, if there is bridging, it would keep it going west...

"you cannot say [which it will do] 8-9 days out"

ABC (10) Isabel leads. Don Noe later in the forecast to talk about "the forces after day five that may move the storm one way or the other."

So the teasers at the top of tonight's broadcast are taking the right tone, I think -- yes, the track is west, it's going to keep going west, but we won't know if it's coming here until about five more days.

No footage of people stocking up a Home Depot.... yet....

Dave

[rlar798]

ABC's Tom Terry in Orlando said by Mon. at 8PM Isabel will be 640 ESE of Orlando and that by Tuesday possibly Wednesday Hurricane Watches and Warnings could be posted for the coast. He said it's still far out and things could change before then.

[Anonymous]

Not saying much down here in south texas channel 6 said This shouldn't pose any kinda threat for us, but it is something to watch because all you folks know the tropics can change quickly. The Mets here are all hyped on the rain event coming with the stalling cool front. So that is it for the 10o'clock news.

[bev1]

WWL radio in New Orleans said we need to watch this as the front that was expected to move her out to sea was not going to make it through the NO area and would stall over our area. This means that the front will not have as much influence as was expected.

[bfez1]

Statement from our local met here in New Orleans: Isabel is just about as powerful as you'll see with any Atlantic hurricane, this morning. It is becoming very apparent that the United States will have to deal with this storm in a direct way.

I am maintaining my position that it is highly unlikely to get a storm west of 90 in the kind of pattern we are in, right now.

The first couple of trofs will miss the storm. The Atlantic ridge is getting quite powerful. So, this will keep the storm heading generally west, but still gaining some latitude as it goes along.

A much stronger trof early next week should pull the storm a little further north, but not much. The only way this would ever end up in the Gulf is if it misses this bigger trof next week. Again, with it still a week away, and continuing to gain latitude, this is unlikely.

The east coast of Florida and the Carolinas should be very concerned.

Sure is a beauty to look at it from this distance, though! Wow!

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

[Rainband]

From the Tampa Bay National weather service dis.


EXTENDED (SUN-WED)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA AND INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS DEPICT PW'S IN THE 1.5
TO 1.7" RANGE BOTH DAYS WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT LOW TO MID RANGE
SCATTERED POPS ALONG SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS...AND WILL DEPICT POPS IN THE 30 TO 40% RANGE
IN THE GRIDS.

DURING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE ISABEL. MODELS SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN MOISTURE
LEVELS...HOWEVER INCREASING SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF ISABEL SHOULD LIMIT
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO SOME DEGREE...SO HAVE OPTED TO CUT BACK
POPS INTO THE ISOLATED RANGE (20%) FOR BOTH DAYS. NO TEMPERATURES
CHANGES EXPECTED WITH READINGS CONTINUING NEAR SEASONAL NORMS.

.MARINE...NO HIGHLIGHTS AS WINDS FORECAST TO STAY BELOW 15 KTS AND
SEAS REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

[Stephanie]

This morning on KYW in Philadelphia, Eliot Abrams had mentioned that late next week we may be feeling some affects from Isabel. :o

[bkhusky2]

My local mets have talked about it a little, but they generally just go with what the NHC says, saying how they are the experts. Which is what I think most local mets should do, but that's just my opinion. I've been in other market areas, and I feel very lucky to have the mets we have here.