jabber wrote:Hello Mike.... Nice to see you again this season.
Hey Jabber...good to see you too.
MW
Bahamian Storm?
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george_r_1961
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
400 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2004
ONE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS APPROACHING THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS HAS BEEN DEPICTED IN VARIOUS WAYS BY THE MODELS RECENTLY BUT FOLLOWING CONTINUITY SUGGESTS THAT THE CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH (REMNANTS OF AN OLD BACK DOOR FRONT...NOT A TROPICAL WAVE). LOOKING AT A LONG SATELLITE LOOP...NORTHERN PORTION OF A SMALLER CLOUD BAND DIMINISHED YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD BE THE TREND AGAIN TODAY ESPECIALLY AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS NUDGES SOUTH. SATELLITE LOOP SUGGESTS THAT SOUTHERN AREAS MAY BE BRUSHED WITH MORE CLOUDINESS AND HENCE THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE THAT SOME SHOWERS CAN HOLD TOGETHER AND PUSH ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...SO HAVE GONE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THERE.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
400 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2004
ONE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS APPROACHING THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS HAS BEEN DEPICTED IN VARIOUS WAYS BY THE MODELS RECENTLY BUT FOLLOWING CONTINUITY SUGGESTS THAT THE CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH (REMNANTS OF AN OLD BACK DOOR FRONT...NOT A TROPICAL WAVE). LOOKING AT A LONG SATELLITE LOOP...NORTHERN PORTION OF A SMALLER CLOUD BAND DIMINISHED YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD BE THE TREND AGAIN TODAY ESPECIALLY AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS NUDGES SOUTH. SATELLITE LOOP SUGGESTS THAT SOUTHERN AREAS MAY BE BRUSHED WITH MORE CLOUDINESS AND HENCE THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE THAT SOME SHOWERS CAN HOLD TOGETHER AND PUSH ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...SO HAVE GONE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THERE.
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