New Ivan Forecast... 135KT for the islands

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Anonymous

#21 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:57 pm

Guess he forgot Hispanola has people too.
0 likes   
Top
MBryant
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 416
Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:13 pm
Location: Orange, Texas

#22 Postby MBryant » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:57 pm

Avila does tend to underestimate things. Reminds me of a Corporate man...always saying what the boss wants to hear.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#23 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:57 pm

Everybody is talking about Florida. But I'm more concerned about Hispanola. They can't even handle tropical storms.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5937
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

#24 Postby MGC » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:58 pm

"A weak five" good oxymoron Derek.....MGC
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#25 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:00 pm

I don't know where people are getting info that Ivan will hit Hispanola.I certainly haven't heard that.Steve Lyons,nor the NHC has said it will hit Hispanola.In fact,Lyons said something about Ivan going just S. of PR
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#26 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:37 pm

the forecast track from nhc has it right over Hispaniola

a storm moving just south of PR moves right over Hispaniola if its moving west or wnw
0 likes   
Top
NorthGaWeather

#27 Postby NorthGaWeather » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:42 pm

Some people forget that the Mts are mostly over the central part of hispanola and if Ivan clips it either to the East or West then the direct impact would be small to Ivan.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#28 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:44 pm

canegrl04 wrote:I don't know where people are getting info that Ivan will hit Hispanola.I certainly haven't heard that.Steve Lyons,nor the NHC has said it will hit Hispanola.In fact,Lyons said something about Ivan going just S. of PR


S. of PR = Hispaniola in a matter of hours. Not to mention NHC does have it hitting Hispaniola.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Fego
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 767
Age: 65
Joined: Sun Apr 18, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Contact:
Contact Fego

Before USA...

#29 Postby Fego » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:50 pm

For those who are concern about us down here (Hispaniola & Puerto Rico), THANKS!... still we don't know where Ivan El Terrible will hit us. Remember guys, before guessing where in the USA Ivan will hit, there are people living in other countries that are FIRST exposed to the hurricane. So, we are so much interested in your expertise".
0 likes   
Go Giants! Go Niners! Go Warriors!
Top
schmita
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 205
Joined: Fri May 21, 2004 4:35 pm
Location: Sint Maarten/ 18.05 N 63.12 W

#30 Postby schmita » Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:06 pm

Yes, I agree. My husband and I are always wondering where "landfall" is. Obviously not on the islands. It's always, it will make "landfall" later and it's already ripping the Bahamas or something.

On another note, I don't wish anyone any harm but I hope this thing passes south of us. I would hate our first storm to be a Cat 5. Then we would get complacent......Not ! :roll: :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#31 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:56 pm

this almost certainly will pass south of st maarteen
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BigO
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 138
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 7:23 pm
Location: Marietta, GA: Knows what it means to miss New Orleans...
Contact:
Contact BigO

#32 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:59 pm

Looks at map...<pucker>
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#33 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:21 pm

I'm with you on this forecast Derek, great job. Ivan gives me great concern for not only the Carib. but for it's potential on the GOM or FL.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
BigO
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 138
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 7:23 pm
Location: Marietta, GA: Knows what it means to miss New Orleans...
Contact:
Contact BigO

#34 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:25 pm

Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
huricanwatcher
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 65
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 6:09 pm
Location: Kirkwood NY
Contact:
Contact huricanwatcher

#35 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:27 pm

BigO wrote:Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.



Please take that back..........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cookiely
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3211
Age: 74
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 7:31 am
Location: Tampa, Florida

#36 Postby Cookiely » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:31 pm

HURRICANE WATCH FOR BARBADOS
Meanwhile, in the tropical central Atlantic, Hurricane Ivan is intensifying explosively. With sustained winds of 125 mph it already is a major hurricane (the fourth of the season) and is also the strongest hurricane on record for such a low latitude (10 degrees north) in the Atlantic Basin. Ivan is forecast to assault the Lesser Antilles as early as Tuesday, and a hurricane watch has been issued for the island of Barbados. Additional hurricane watches for the Windward Islands are likely over the next 12 hours.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BigO
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 138
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 7:23 pm
Location: Marietta, GA: Knows what it means to miss New Orleans...
Contact:
Contact BigO

#37 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:33 pm

I'm with you...I don't want to see it happen either.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#38 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:33 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:
BigO wrote:Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.



Please take that back..........


Why so? Is one not allowed to point out that major hurricanes do indeed kill many people?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
huricanwatcher
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 65
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 6:09 pm
Location: Kirkwood NY
Contact:
Contact huricanwatcher

#39 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:47 pm

bahamaswx wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:
BigO wrote:Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.



Please take that back..........


Why so? Is one not allowed to point out that major hurricanes do indeed kill many people?


Its a free open forum, but lets not press the issue is all i saying..... :roll:
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#40 Postby dennis1x1 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:00 pm

models starting show very real possibly of recurvature and no us landfall.....next couple days should see if that scenario continues to play out.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 288 guests