The "FIST": Dennis just made it!

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Bluefrog
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#21 Postby Bluefrog » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:58 pm

crap :eek: crap :eek: crap :eek:
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sea oat
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#22 Postby sea oat » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:00 pm

well i hope if you live along the gulf coast you are getting your affairs in order. it's scary that so many new ppl have moved down here and don't have a clue. they think since they made it through arlene they can make it through a cat 3 with no preparation. silly.
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Radar
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#23 Postby Radar » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:05 pm

Sea Oat,

I have talked to alot of people FROM here, who think the storm is going to go Pensacola... When Dennis is brought up they say "Well, it will hit the panhandle" I have asked them "How do you know" and the usual answer is "Well, Florida is where the hurricanes have been going lately".. It just floors me how somewhat educated people can be so dumb or have chosen not to educate themselves about hurricanes when they live in a Hurricane prone area. So it is not just the newbies making unwise choices!
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#24 Postby Innotech » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:10 pm

well, I DID have a dream of a hurricane this year going annular. I hope that dream doesnt come true because only Cat 5's go annular usually.
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#25 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:13 pm

I hope your dream is not the truth
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HouTXmetro
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#26 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:21 pm

Innotech wrote:well, I DID have a dream of a hurricane this year going annular. I hope that dream doesnt come true because only Cat 5's go annular usually.


annular? What is annular?
Last edited by HouTXmetro on Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#27 Postby nolecaster » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:22 pm

Only 5's go annular?
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Innotech
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#28 Postby Innotech » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:28 pm

basically hte whole storm forms a perfect or almost perfectly circular donut shape and maintains intensity for al ong itme. See Hurricane Ivan and Isabel for examples.

Image
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#29 Postby timeflow » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:35 pm

Compare Dennis with Ivan ...

"Annular" Ivan skirting Jamaica...

Image

and here is our young menace, Dennis...

Image
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GulfHills
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#30 Postby GulfHills » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:45 pm

Whoaa....that picture of Ivan still scares me. Seems like it was just yesterday we were putting on the shutters.
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#31 Postby Radar » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:50 pm

I know Ivan was mean and vicious and I really hate what he did to the Grand Bay/ Pensacola area, but you have to admit Ivan was a beautiful baby!!!
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timeflow
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#32 Postby timeflow » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:53 pm

I know, it's truly a furious beast, that Ivan. Just copied my Ivan folder over from a DVD. There's a bunch of these images, NHC track graphics and models. It's almost like we're reliving all this. Fortunately Dennis is nowhere near as intense at this stage, and I really hope it doesn't spin up that bad, thinking of those out there that this might affect.
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drezee
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#33 Postby drezee » Thu Jul 07, 2005 5:12 pm

bump:

28 mb drop in 19 hours
I would say the theory held up.

URNT12 KNHC 062323
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 06/23:05:10Z
B. 16 deg 12 min N
072 deg 43 min W
C. 700 mb 2955 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 046 deg 063 kt
G. 320 deg 013 nm
H. 984 mb


000

URNT12 KNHC 071826
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 07/18:16:40Z
B. 18 deg 36 min N
076 deg 11 min W
C. 700 mb 2739 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 001 deg 075 kt
G. 282 deg 012 nm
H. 956 mb
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Buck
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#34 Postby Buck » Thu Jul 07, 2005 5:19 pm

My prediction.... Cat 4 by 8AM tomorrow morning.
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baitism
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#35 Postby baitism » Thu Jul 07, 2005 5:25 pm

Maybe if it stays over water. If it catches the mountain range on the SE part of Cuba it will inhibit strenghtening.
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drezee
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#36 Postby drezee » Thu Jul 07, 2005 5:34 pm

CDO structure has improved by a degree of magnitude in the last hour. Recon should find a stronger storm during the next couple of vortex messages.
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