Carribean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

[jasons2k]

Thanks KatDaddy, I had not seen that yet, but that's just another clue out there that we need to watch. It'll be interesting to see what happens with another front expected to move into TX next week as well, if the timetable changes at all and if it will have any impact on the path.

[artist]

actually turns out according to the TWD it is a mid-upper level low, now that I read it.

CARIBBEAN...
A LARGE MID/UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL CARIBBEAN NEAR
16N73W ABOUT 120 NM S OF HAITI. THE LOW IS PULLING BROAD NLY
FLOW OVER THE W HALF OF THE CARIBBEAN BASIN...AND AS A RESULT IS
PULLING A LARGE AREA OF CIRRUS OUTFLOW FROM W OF 80W SEWD TO THE
VENEZUELA COAST. DRY AIR FARTHER N OVER THE W ATLC IS BEING
DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION OF THE LOW AND HAS SPREAD OVER ERN
CUBA AND JAMAICA THEN S OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE LOW
IS CAUSING ISOLATED SHOWERS PRIMARILY ON ITS E SIDE...THE BULK
OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR
THE ITCZ...AND WHERE THE UPPER FLOW IS DIVERGING TO THE E AND
SW. SHOWERS/TSTMS CURRENTLY OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE W
OVER THE YUCATAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS AND WILL BE REPLACED BY
RELATIVELY DRY AIR AT LEAST THRU THU. THE E CARIBBEAN AND LESSER
ANTILLES WILL CONTINUE WITH RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS FOR
SEVERAL DAYS WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING TRADE SHOWERS.

wonder if it could become a player after Thurs.?

[KatDaddy]

I still believe this season will hold several more tropical cyclones for the GOM. The waters are extremely warm and could provide homebrew development toward middle and late September not to mention any CV systems that move into the GOM and feed off the fuel available.