Possible dilemma for NHC tomorrow?

gkrangers · #21 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Aug 17, 2005 12:07 am

For 00z Friday.

00z GFS has a high centered in the mid atlantic near 57W/25N...so they may think its going to move NW around the periphery of that high pressure. There is also a high over western Florida..and perhaps a little bit of weakness in between...hence the NW motion and not a more westerly motion that would take place if the east-west flow was better defined.

This is just my opinion, I may not be inline with their thinking.

boca · #22 Postby **boca** » Wed Aug 17, 2005 12:13 am

According to 00z gfs this system will track simular to Irene if it gets its act together.

sma10 · #23 Postby **sma10** » Wed Aug 17, 2005 12:13 am

Really hard to tell, gk

I don't think they expected this thing to track quite this far south.

One thing about TD10.....even though the ball of convection has deteriorated tonight, the overall look and shape to the system seems to have improved.

boca · #24 Postby **boca** » Wed Aug 17, 2005 12:17 am

According to winds at upper levels looks west to me.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

gkrangers · #25 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Aug 17, 2005 12:40 am

boca wrote:According to winds at upper levels looks west to me.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

But you noticed that they are weak and the weakness between the FL and central Atlantic highs?

gkrangers · #26 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Aug 17, 2005 12:40 am

boca wrote:According to 00z gfs this system will track simular to Irene if it gets its act together.

I can't see the system on the 00z GFS whatsoever.

Possible dilemma for NHC tomorrow?

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