How Much Will 92L Develop

[dixiebreeze]

Ugh -- not enough coffee, I guess. Of course I meant the Bahamas!

Air Force Met -- Apparently you did not read the above follow-up post. Rudeness on this forum is reaching new heights lately.

Just because you were way off on your geography and he called you on it doesn't mean he is rude. In fact, i would like to see alot more of it on this board so that things are correct. Way too much misinformation.

I respectfully disagree. It's sad that this forum is changing so much. It used to be that a member could post without worrying about sarcasm or flaming. S2K is so great, I just think it's really disturbing.

[NastyCat4]

A hybrid storm has some of the characteristics of a tropical storm, and some of an extratropical. Generally, it doesn't completely close off circulation, and tends to be lopsided--that is, one end of it has some tropical characteristics, and the other lacks the convection of a true tropical cyclone.

[Brent]

I just don't think this will develop much. Near South Florida in 36 hours... and it's very poorly organized right now. Maybe a Tropical Storm in the Gulf with the worst weather well east of the center.

[NastyCat4]

just don't think this will develop much. Near South Florida in 36 hours... and it's very poorly organized right now. Maybe a Tropical Storm in the Gulf with the worst weather well east of the center.

Agree strongly. I think AF Met nailed this one, with the idea of a fairly weak hybrid--there just isn't much spin on it, and it will have many strikes against true tropical development.

[WeatherEmperor]

The 12Z Canadian just rides this system up the east cost of Florida and puts it in GA. Dont know how much faith can be put on this, but it is interesting to note how significantly it has backed off this huge circular loop in the GOM that it previously showed.

<RICKY>

[SamSagnella]

A sub-tropical/hybrid type storm seems like the most likely scenario upon 'initiation' -- though, if it gets left behind in the GoM for any meaningful period of time, acquisition of tropical characteristics is never out of the question.

[NastyCat4]

The 12Z Canadian just rides this system up the east cost of Florida and puts it in GA

It is doing a replay of Ophelia--this storm is way different--not a "coast cruiser--" the circulation (such as it is exists) is way down at 24.5 and 70, and is moving WEST).

[WeatherEmperor]

The 12Z Canadian just rides this system up the east cost of Florida and puts it in GA

It is doing a replay of Ophelia--this storm is way different--not a "coast cruiser--" the circulation (such as it is exists) is way down at 24.5 and 70, and is moving WEST).

Yeah thats true. I really dont know how much faith to put into the Canadian model at this moment. Im still waiting for the 12Z GFS and GFDL so I can see what changes those runs hold.

<RICKY>

[jlauderdal]

Ugh -- not enough coffee, I guess. Of course I meant the Bahamas!

Air Force Met -- Apparently you did not read the above follow-up post. Rudeness on this forum is reaching new heights lately.

Just because you were way off on your geography and he called you on it doesn't mean he is rude. In fact, i would like to see alot more of it on this board so that things are correct. Way too much misinformation.

I respectfully disagree. It's sad that this forum is changing so much. It used to be that a member could post without worrying about sarcasm or flaming. S2K is so great, I just think it's really disturbing.

so you would prefer that we have incorrect information posted and nobody says anything about it?

[dixiebreeze]

Ugh -- not enough coffee, I guess. Of course I meant the Bahamas!

Air Force Met -- Apparently you did not read the above follow-up post. Rudeness on this forum is reaching new heights lately.

Just because you were way off on your geography and he called you on it doesn't mean he is rude. In fact, i would like to see alot more of it on this board so that things are correct. Way too much misinformation.

I respectfully disagree. It's sad that this forum is changing so much. It used to be that a member could post without worrying about sarcasm or flaming. S2K is so great, I just think it's really disturbing.

so you would prefer that we have incorrect information posted and nobody says anything about it?

Brick wall The point is, I immediately corrected my error.

[Canelaw99]

On the S2K changing issue - I agree we should correct misinformation when it's seen, but when it is corrected, it should be done in a respectful way. Lately, I have seen a lot of rude sarcasm and downright name calling on this board and it's quite disheartening. I come here to learn about stuff, and to get more info. on storms that might be affecting my area. Used to be I enjoyed all the members and what they had to say. Lately, though, there has been a lot of nitpicking and it's got to stop or we're going to lose many wonderful members.

Now, back to the post at hand - I voted Trop. Storm. No reasoning, just a guess.

[dixiebreeze]

On the S2K changing issue - I agree we should correct misinformation when it's seen, but when it is corrected, it should be done in a respectful way. Lately, I have seen a lot of rude sarcasm and downright name calling on this board and it's quite disheartening. I come here to learn about stuff, and to get more info. on storms that might be affecting my area. Used to be I enjoyed all the members and what they had to say. Lately, though, there has been a lot of nitpicking and it's got to stop or we're going to lose many wonderful members.

Now, back to the post at hand - I voted Trop. Storm. No reasoning, just a guess.

Good post Canelaw99. Thank you.

[Ivanhater]

i agree, i want to say something about the people being rude, like what is going on in the 92l thread, even some pros are being rude...but then it will start another argument, so i dont say anything.....i hope those people will stop soon

[WeatherEmperor]

i agree, i want to say something about the people being rude, like what is going on in the 92l thread, even some pros are being rude...but then it will start another argument, so i dont say anything.....i hope those people will stop soon

I agree. Tensions are very high and people are nervous about their area being affected. All of us are in this together and we need to stay together as one team, united and strong.

<RICKY>

[Ivanhater]

i agree, i want to say something about the people being rude, like what is going on in the 92l thread, even some pros are being rude...but then it will start another argument, so i dont say anything.....i hope those people will stop soon

I agree. Tensions are very high and people are nervous about their area being affected. All of us are in this together and we need to stay together as one team, united and strong.

<RICKY>

very good point

[Canelaw99]

you're welcome dixie

[audioslave8]

i agree, i want to say something about the people being rude, like what is going on in the 92l thread, even some pros are being rude...but then it will start another argument, so i dont say anything.....i hope those people will stop soon

Yep!!! Seems we have a bunch of know it alls on here that dont know sh## in my opinion. That is why they are not working at the NHC and have to always bad mouth them thinking their idea of what the storm is going to do will be right and make the NHC look bad like they have no clue on how to track these storms. Jeff Masters and steve gregory are the same way. They put some good info on their blogs but most of them are always different from the NHC and they also seems to think their predictions will happen which everytime they end up WRONG and the NHC right. They are some more NHC wanna bees. It seems on here we have alot of people that just wanna put you down on anything you say. It is pretty sad. The very first post I ever put on here during Katrina I was given a smart a## comment. People on here love to prove your wrong like they have worked side by side with Dr. Steve Lyons for years. All you cocky people out there that think your some kind of tropical weather expert please stop trying to be a big dawg and let these people say what they wanna say and don't be rude.

[jlauderdal]

I believe it will develop into a 'cane. The Caribbean is THE hot spot this season.

How is this system even remotely close to the Caribbean? Have you looked at a map lately?

Forgot to give my vote: I think sub-tropical storm at best. Major hurricane? Not at all likely. A hurricane with that kind of upper low near it is also an *almost* impossibility...unless it gets some !SERIOUS! baroclinic support.

I have quoted Air Force Met's correction to dixie and I hardly think there was anything rude about it especially considering he put the smiley up there. Now if someone is rude then that isn;t too cool but in this case there was nothing rude about it. If you are wrong and corrected which you will be on this board then accept it and move on.

[dixiebreeze]

jlauderdal, a correction can be made without sarcasm. I wouldn't argue with Air Force Met concerning weather. Now drop it.

I forgot the smiley

[cycloneye]

Ok order in the house.