91L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#21 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:03 pm

Welcome to the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season!!!

My estimated chance of development into TD1: 5%
My estimated chance of development into Alberto: 2%

x-y-no · #22 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:05 pm

I see no sense in this, unless they just want the practice. Sure, there's a surface low there, and it even extends into the mid-level, but it's embedded in the trough. There's absolutely zero chance of any tropical development.

JamesFromMaine2 · #23 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:06 pm

right now its in an area of 20 to 30kts of shear if it keeps moving away from the coast then it will get into an area of 10 to 20kts of shear.

#24 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:07 pm

x-y-no wrote:I see no sense in this, unless they just want the practice. Sure, there's a surface low there, and it even extends into the mid-level, but it's embedded in the trough. There's absolutely zero chance of any tropical development.

I agree, we had much better systems through the winter. I say the chance of it becoming Alberto is 2% - numerous systems earlier this year had greater probabilities.

Brandon007 · #25 Postby **Brandon007** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:08 pm

[quote="CrazyC83"]Welcome to the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season!!!

I think it may be a little early to call it "hurricane season" maybe the start of "invest" season

but we shall see

#26 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:10 pm

UFO!!!! They're coming to get us!!!!!

Brandon007 · #27 Postby **Brandon007** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:14 pm

OH NO!!! Your Right Run For the Hills ROFL

#28 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:16 pm

Website · #29 Postby **Brent** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:18 pm

It's coming right for us. :eek:

#30 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:19 pm

Wow at the rate this thread is going page 10 will arrive soon.

And this is only a small naked swirl.

#31 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:24 pm

better view of the invest here

http://tinyurl.com/ofppp

#32 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:24 pm

91L invest

:uarrow:

They changed the number up to 91L because 90L was used already for the South Atlantic system in March.

KWT · #33 Postby **KWT** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:25 pm

Yeah, its got no chance of forming at all, bar a miricle. Still it does ahow that we are getting close to that time where invests will start to occur.

#34 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:27 pm

#35 Postby **tailgater** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:29 pm

I was looking at the global models this morning and they showed a system that seems to be pretty loosely wound hanging around then moving N or NNW, something to watch I guess :wink:

#36 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:33 pm

Thunderstorm firing near the center. Click on "center" (large MODIS visible image)

#37 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:33 pm

339 view already LOL

#38 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:35 pm

Wow I didn't view doing this in late April but this thread officially is now the first one of this kind in 2006=91L invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread.

James I edited the title.

Camille_2_Katrina · #39 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:35 pm

If it gets in the Gulf... It could be trouble. The waters are already
warming up. That's all we need here is another storm! :eek:

#40 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:36 pm

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:If it gets in the Gulf... It could be trouble. The waters are already
warming up. That's all we need here is another storm!

Are you kidding me??? Come on....

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