Hurricane Helene,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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#21 Postby rainstorm » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:43 pm

looks like the low has moved se off hatteras
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#22 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:45 pm

00z GFS at 30 Hours
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#23 Postby Bgator » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:47 pm

I see the Low moving ESE....
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#24 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:50 pm

00z GFS Loop at 48 Hours
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#25 Postby mountainspring » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:55 pm

Thanks everyone for the quick responses and for the links!
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#26 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:55 pm

00z GFS Loop at 60 Hours
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#27 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:57 pm

Thus far it looks like the 00Z GFS is not that much different from the 18Z GFS. Wonder what the other global models like GFDL, UK and NOGAPS will show.

<RICKY>
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#28 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:59 pm

Image

Eye developing, Helene intensifying.
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#29 Postby Scorpion » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:01 pm

Wow, just logged in from being out all day. The GFS has gone thousands of miles to the west. I cannot believe it is actually threatening Florida, where a few days ago it was recurving at 55 W. Just insane.
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#30 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:02 pm

Why does the western edge of the storm seem flattened out?
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#31 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:05 pm

00z GFS Loop at 90 Hours
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#32 Postby AussieMark » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:06 pm

pgoss11 wrote:Why does the western edge of the storm seem flattened out?


Its from dry air I think
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#33 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:07 pm

Thanks... just curious :D
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#34 Postby HDGator » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:07 pm

cycloneye wrote:00z GFS Loop at 90 Hours


Still trending the wrong direction.
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#35 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:08 pm

Is it just me, or does the 00Z GFS at 90 hours look more south then the 18Z run?

<RICKY>
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#36 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:08 pm

Several of us on here have been warning that this one was never a certain fish even though many wrote it off. There are too many factors here and models have never had a good handle on her. Not to say she will hit or even threaten the US, just know sometimes things do not behave in the tropics. This one has been different from the start.
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#37 Postby Opal storm » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:09 pm

HDGator wrote:
cycloneye wrote:00z GFS Loop at 90 Hours


Still trending the wrong direction.
Notice that cold front it has emerging off the EC,that front will protect the U.S.
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#38 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:10 pm

That seems to be the story all this season- difficult storms to track and predict
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#39 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:11 pm

Opal storm wrote:
HDGator wrote:
cycloneye wrote:00z GFS Loop at 90 Hours


Still trending the wrong direction.
Notice that cold front it has emerging off the EC,that front will protect the U.S.


No it won't show that.
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#40 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:13 pm

pgoss11 wrote:That seems to be the story all this season- difficult storms to track and predict


This one will prove to be a bigger problem than first thought. I still do not see an East Coast strike, except maybe way north, but she will get closer than most of us would like to see.

See how many, she will not make it to 50w posters there are on here tomorrow.
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