SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

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curtadams
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#21 Postby curtadams » Tue May 08, 2007 9:54 am

Looks pretty darn tropical to me. Symmetrically distributed deep convection, strong winds at the center, and minimal front involvement. Completely different from yesterday. Very disorganized - but that doesn't make it non-tropical.
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#22 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 08, 2007 9:54 am

Stormcenter wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:What everyone has been waiting since Nov. 30, 2006. The first invest of the 2007 hurricane season.


Speak for yourself. Personally I'm looking forward to Nov. 30th 2007.


True, sorry!!!!! :lol:
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#23 Postby WmE » Tue May 08, 2007 9:56 am

Chacor wrote:Okay, an admittedly-cynical question: How long until the media starts hyping up the "early start", if they do decide to do so? Can't be long I imagine.


IMO they won't recognize the system until the NHC decides to give it a name. When it has a name the hype should commence.
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#24 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 08, 2007 9:56 am

Image

90LINVEST.50kts-998mb-304N-773W
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#25 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 08, 2007 9:56 am

Chacor wrote:Okay, an admittedly-cynical question: How long until the media starts hyping up the "early start", if they do decide to do so? Can't be long I imagine.


You said media hype.,look: :darrow:

Media

Look to the low right area there.
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#26 Postby WmE » Tue May 08, 2007 9:58 am

cycloneye wrote:
Chacor wrote:Okay, an admittedly-cynical question: How long until the media starts hyping up the "early start", if they do decide to do so? Can't be long I imagine.


You said media hype.,look: :darrow:

Media

Look to the low right area there.


Now I'm eating my words! :P
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#27 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 08, 2007 10:06 am

Image
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#28 Postby Regit » Tue May 08, 2007 10:12 am

Ok, I'll be the first to do it...

Image
Bears Watching
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#29 Postby FrontRunner » Tue May 08, 2007 10:13 am

I wonder if, at this point, whether or not it gets classified as subtropical or tropical is simply a function of how much convection can get concentrated around the center. If there's a big blowup right over or near the center sometime today, does anyone thing the NHC would automatically upgrade to a tropical or subtropical storm before recon gets in there tomorrow to check it out? I mean if they really think there are already 50kt winds present, that might warrent some TS watches/warnings as soon as possible.
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#30 Postby seaswing » Tue May 08, 2007 10:13 am

BRING IT ON :eek: we are burning up here!!! Fires surrounding Alachua county are making it extremely hard to breath! I had to literally turn on the air conditioner yesterday when I got home even though it was 74 degress outside. To get it to turn on, I had to set the thermostat to 68 and walk around the house in sweats!

So BRING IT ON!!!! :eek: :eek:
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#31 Postby skysummit » Tue May 08, 2007 10:19 am

FrontRunner wrote:I wonder if, at this point, whether or not it gets classified as subtropical or tropical is simply a function of how much convection can get concentrated around the center. If there's a big blowup right over or near the center sometime today, does anyone thing the NHC would automatically upgrade to a tropical or subtropical storm before recon gets in there tomorrow to check it out? I mean if they really think there are already 50kt winds present, that might warrent some TS watches/warnings as soon as possible.


Good point....IF t-storms could develop around the center, and MAINTAIN themselves, this could eventually become warm core, but that'll take time. Does this have enough time? Hmm....maybe so. If recon does in fact find winds of 50kts or so tomorrow, we could maybe see warnings go up.
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#32 Postby Chacor » Tue May 08, 2007 10:33 am

WV:

Image
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#33 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 08, 2007 10:33 am

Jeff Master's Analysis

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

Above is the Jeff Masters Analysis.
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#34 Postby yzerfan » Tue May 08, 2007 10:41 am

There was a brief mention of it as an area of interest on the CNN weather report.
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#35 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue May 08, 2007 10:55 am

Sorry Luis, didn't notice you had changed the title of the other long one.
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#36 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue May 08, 2007 11:03 am

Come on guys I'm not impressed. We should have more responses than this already. It's been two years since we had the potential of tropical activity (2006 didn't count). :wink: Where's that weather enthusiast hungry drive that makes this forum so special?
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#37 Postby KWT » Tue May 08, 2007 11:04 am

Does look rather subtropical, the convection is not really deep but then again the sea surface temps aren't that high, even though clearly te gulf stream water shave helped to increase convection overnight. looks like a classic hybrid sort of low, looks like a bit of everything!
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#38 Postby Chacor » Tue May 08, 2007 11:06 am

Grease Monkey wrote:Come on guys I'm not impressed. We should have more responses than this already. It's been two years since we had the potential of tropical activity (2006 didn't count). :wink: Where's that weather enthusiast hungry drive that makes this forum so special?


I think it all died after the thread on the original LOW was locked. :lol:
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#39 Postby MortisFL » Tue May 08, 2007 11:07 am

Stormcenter wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:What everyone has been waiting since Nov. 30, 2006. The first invest of the 2007 hurricane season.


Speak for yourself. Personally I'm looking forward to Nov. 30th 2007.


I seriously doubt that Stormcenter. You wouldn't be here otherwise.
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#40 Postby artist » Tue May 08, 2007 11:07 am

some of its early impacts to Palm Beach county -

http://www.co.palm-beach.fl.us/webcams/lwi/isl001.jpg
http://www.evsjupiter.com/live.htm

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?w ... od+Warning

Coastal Flood Warning at above link
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