Interesting tropical waves across the Atlantic

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#21 Postby Category 5 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 9:05 pm

I don't think it's uncommon for it to poof out and whatevers left of it reforms in the Caribbiean
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#22 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 03, 2007 9:06 pm

I would have been surprised if the system had not poofed!!!
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#23 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 9:07 pm

Having said that here is some interesting wording from the NHC...

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN
19W AND 22W APPEAR TO BE WITH A SQUALL LINE AWAY FROM THE AFRICA
COAST. THIS SQUALL LINE IS SUPPOSED TO BE PRECEDING A TROPICAL
WAVE THAT WAS PUT ON THE 03/1800 UTC SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS ALONG
12W. LET US WAIT A LITTLE BIT LONGER AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH
THIS FEATURE.
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#24 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 9:29 pm

windstorm99 wrote:Having said that here is some interesting wording from the NHC...

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN
19W AND 22W APPEAR TO BE WITH A SQUALL LINE AWAY FROM THE AFRICA
COAST. THIS SQUALL LINE IS SUPPOSED TO BE PRECEDING A TROPICAL
WAVE THAT WAS PUT ON THE 03/1800 UTC SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS ALONG
12W. LET US WAIT A LITTLE BIT LONGER AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH
THIS FEATURE.


Must be a big deal if it has caught the eye of the NHC 8-)
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#25 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Jun 03, 2007 10:22 pm

Very impressive late tonight:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/rb-l.jpg
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#26 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 10:52 pm

canegrl04 wrote:
windstorm99 wrote:Having said that here is some interesting wording from the NHC...

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN
19W AND 22W APPEAR TO BE WITH A SQUALL LINE AWAY FROM THE AFRICA
COAST. THIS SQUALL LINE IS SUPPOSED TO BE PRECEDING A TROPICAL
WAVE THAT WAS PUT ON THE 03/1800 UTC SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS ALONG
12W. LET US WAIT A LITTLE BIT LONGER AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH
THIS FEATURE.


Must be a big deal if it has caught the eye of the NHC 8-)


It sounds like the NHC has some interest in it. If it's still there tomorrow, maybe we'll see it mentioned in the TWO.
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#27 Postby boca » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:00 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Very impressive late tonight:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/rb-l.jpg


It is impressive but aren't the water temps not supportive of these waves yet thats why they go poof.
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#28 Postby Ola » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:13 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:
canegrl04 wrote:
windstorm99 wrote:Having said that here is some interesting wording from the NHC...

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN
19W AND 22W APPEAR TO BE WITH A SQUALL LINE AWAY FROM THE AFRICA
COAST. THIS SQUALL LINE IS SUPPOSED TO BE PRECEDING A TROPICAL
WAVE THAT WAS PUT ON THE 03/1800 UTC SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS ALONG
12W. LET US WAIT A LITTLE BIT LONGER AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH
THIS FEATURE.


Must be a big deal if it has caught the eye of the NHC 8-)


It sounds like the NHC has some interest in it. If it's still there tomorrow, maybe we'll see it mentioned in the TWO.


Actually, what the meant was to wait and see if it was a squall line preceding a tropical wave or a wave itself. I think they are just not sure. That is why they say "SQUALL LINE IS SUPPOSED TO BE PRECEDING A TROPICAL ". And then "LET US WAIT A LITTLE BIT LONGER AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH
THIS FEATURE". They are not saying lets wait to see if it develops. They are saying lets wait and see if in fact it was a squall line or it was a wave. Squall lines die fast. Since this one has lasted longer, maybe they are not sure.
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#29 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 04, 2007 5:16 am

Image

Still very interesting 24 hours later. The convection has diminished but it's significant compared to what we should be seeing in a normal early June tropical wave. Nonetheless, development is not expected. Just a curiosity.
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#30 Postby StormTracker » Mon Jun 04, 2007 6:23 am

Maybe this wave thinks outside the bubble!!! Weird things are happening! This week here in Miami we are expecting temps in the low to mid 90's all week(in June)!!! :eek:
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#31 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:15 am

Image


As expected this thing went dead. It looks like a completely normal part of the ITCZ now, but still I am impressed this thing held on all the way to the Cape Verde Islands that's pretty impressive in Early June.
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#32 Postby Opal storm » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:24 am

Too far south to make it to the Caribbean anyways.
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#33 Postby Frank2 » Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:01 pm

My guess, but, I think that the "let us wait and see" comment from the NHC might have been meant as a critical comment to the previous shift who might have prematurely put the system on the map as an identifiable system, since most of these waves usually dissipate quickly after leaving the coast, especially at this time of year...

Some forecasters would probably prefer to have referred to it as an area of thunderstorms for at least 24 hours, before actually referring to it as a true topical entity...
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#34 Postby hawkeh » Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:22 pm

Hmm I'm no expert but I really thought this would have fizzled out by now. Still looking pretty solid especially for June...
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#35 Postby windstorm99 » Tue Jun 05, 2007 12:49 pm

Here's comes another pretty impressive wave of africa but chances for development seem rather low.
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#36 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jun 05, 2007 2:10 pm

Image
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#37 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jun 05, 2007 2:13 pm

They continue to look very interesting. Let the parade begin!!!
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#38 Postby skysummit » Tue Jun 05, 2007 3:19 pm

"AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W SOUTH OF 10N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. SOME INVERTED-V LOW CLOUD MOVEMENT IS
SEEN ON THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES FROM 5N TO 10N
AROUND THE WAVE. THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION FROM 7N TO 10N
BETWEEN 49W AND 58W ARE AT THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE EASTERN SIDE
OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH FROM 22N52W TO
15N59W TO THE NORTHERN VENEZUELA COAST NEAR 10N65W."


Getting ready to move into a "little more favorable area".

Image
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#39 Postby windstorm99 » Tue Jun 05, 2007 3:29 pm

Favorable is correct here is the GFS outlook for the 8th of june.

Shows pretty favorable upper level winds across the eastern caribbean.

Image
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#40 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jun 05, 2007 3:39 pm

These tropical waves continue to amaze us.
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