SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

[seaswing]

Convectiion remains very shallow and away from the center. Appears to be moving a bit north of west. Squalls now moving ashore into SC. With any luck, the worst this will do is provide some rain for coastal counties from NE FLorida through SC. Chances of it intensifying are very low, even if it does gain some tropical characteristics. I know at least some of the NHC forecasters are strongly in the cold-core low camp, so the odds of it being called Andrea are low at least tonight. It'll probably slowly spin down and eventually move out to sea.

Is there any chance it creates enough instability to support scattered
to widespread thunderstorms fed by afternoon heating
later this week across Florida?

Very good question! I did hear on the local news tonight that instability was in fact something that they are expecting and that rain chances could be better later this week, at least for north Florida.

[badashley]

Sitting just outside of Savannah, WAITING for some rain! Not a drop here so far, but we'll take anything we can get.

[wxman57]

Is there any chance it creates enough instability to support scattered
to widespread thunderstorms fed by afternoon heating
later this week across Florida?

It's pretty dry there in Tampa. Will be hard for the rain to build that far west. You might get lucky and see a few showers, though.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Thank you wxman57!

[Noah]

Is there any chance it creates enough instability to support scattered
to widespread thunderstorms fed by afternoon heating
later this week across Florida?

It's pretty dry there in Tampa. Will be hard for the rain to build that far west. You might get lucky and see a few showers, though.

Geesh, forget about Sarasota then. I find myself on here begging for rain like everyone else to stop all these fires. Maybe Ill Have to do a rain dance

[Chacor]

Well, convection's deeper than it was, if anything... still quite weak though. Also not much near the centre.

[Opal storm]

This system might end up bringing FL/GA more problems than relief, considering the strong winds. It needs to build up more precip to even tame those fires.

[Noah]

This system might end up bringing FL/GA more problems than relief, considering the strong winds. It needs to build up more precip to even tame those fires.

That is true and very sad. What are the winds up too?

[seaswing]

Sitting just outside of Savannah, WAITING for some rain! Not a drop here so far, but we'll take anything we can get.

Can't sit outside here tonight although the temps are wonderful, the smell of burning, or should I say 'charred' wood makes your eyes burn. Smoke seemed to rise for awhile earlier this evening but it is back in full force tonight. It is though it has permeated into my nose, I smell it 24/7 now...

[cycloneye]

Convection is lacking near the center.If this thing is going to become Andrea,convection has to build near the center,and time is running out.

[jaxfladude]

Convection is lacking near the center.If this thing is going to become Andrea,convection has to build near the center,and time is running out.

More Convection Please!!!!!
I would be very worried if this were Mid Aug. to Early Oct.

[CronkPSU]

come on rain...no wind, just rain, rain, rain, let's get out of this drought right now and not have to worry at all as we get further into the season

[Extremeweatherguy]

I can see this possibly being one of those storms they decide to award S.T.D. or weak S.T.S. status to after hurricane season.

[skysummit]

I can see this possibly being one of those storms they decide to award S.T.D. or weak S.T.S. status to after hurricane season.

LOL...yea, in case they don't meet their quota.

[HURAKAN]

The best thing to do right now is to go to sleep and wake up early tomorrow to see how the system has progressed during the night and if the NHC will the send the RECON to investigate the storm. Between now and then, there is nothing else to do but wait

[AnnularCane]

The best thing to do right now is to go to sleep and wake up early tomorrow to see how the system has progressed during the night and if the NHC will the send the RECON to investigate the storm. Between now and then, there is nothing else to do but wait

It's too early for that! At least for me

By the time I get up, recon should (hopefully) be on their way!

[seaswing]

On that note.... I say goodnight everyone. See ya'll tomorrow

Seas

[Scorpion]

come on rain...no wind, just rain, rain, rain, let's get out of this drought right now and not have to worry at all as we get further into the season

Its not happening

[Opal storm]

Looking at that loop cycloneye posted it looks like the system is opening up, clear skies filling in the center of the storm.

[tailgater]

This system might end up bringing FL/GA more problems than relief, considering the strong winds. It needs to build up more precip to even tame those fires.

I don't know about Extra or Sub Tropical but a true tropical system will have Lots of sinking air around it's preriphery. So if doesn't move in your direction it may be more of a problem than a solution.
That said, I sure hope drifts in yall's direction.