Pouch PGI50L in NW Carribean - Code Orange - (Is Invest 96L)

[SouthFloridawx]

H84 low N of Honduras looks to be the main low....If thats the case may head throught the channel and towards the panhandle down to tampa....
http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal084.gif

Looks very broad and very disorganized.

[SouthFloridawx]

111

[Vortex]

H96 might get stuck down there if it misses the connection.......still N of honduras....





http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_096l.gif

[SFLcane]

Nothing to really get overly concerned in SFL at this time. Lets wait for something to develope if indeed it does.

[Vortex]

looks like multiple vorticities rotating around a very broad circulation

[SouthFloridawx]

123

[Vortex]

H120 hanging out N of honduras..a little deeper...looks to be a very large system



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_120l.gif

[SouthFloridawx]

135

[Vortex]

Notice vorticity near Jamaica...thats where the main low was on the 18z

[SouthFloridawx]

Looks like something pretty organized heads north to the east of Jamaica. If you watch the loop... looks like that will be the dominant low in this run.

[Ivanhater]

GFS doesn't know where to develop this

[SouthFloridawx]

147

[Blown Away]

Looks like something pretty organized heads north to the east of Jamaica. If you watch the loop... looks like that will be the dominant low in this run.

That spot makes me a little nervous looking at that high over the Atlantic.

[Vortex]

H132 big storm in the making if it gels...there appears to be 2 competing vorticities...one n of honduras and the other just ne of jamaica



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_132l.gif

[SouthFloridawx]

GFS doesn't know where to develop this

There has to be a this to develop, lol...

[Vortex]

what concerns me is its sitting under a very high oceanic heat content with an upper high parked over it...once it gels look out

[Ivanhater]

GFS doesn't know where to develop this

There has to be a this to develop, lol...

'
I have little doubt "something" will develop...very complicated set up though.

[caneseddy]

Looks like another close brush or direct hit on South Florida; question is how strong

[Blown Away]

what concerns me is its sitting under a very high oceanic heat content with an upper high parked over it...once it gels look out

If that Jamaica low becomes Nicole that has a 1950 King track written all over it. If that happens 1950 and 2010 would be almost identical, remarkable how similar the two years are right now!

[Ivanhater]

156