Tropical Wave SW of Cabo Verde Islands: (Is Invest 96L)

[SFLcane]

Closer look..

[SconnieCane]

Whether it hits the CONUS or not, looks like a high likelihood this could be a problem for many of the same islands that were battered by Hurricane Irma and/or Maria less than two years ago.

[AutoPenalti]

Something to take into consideration as well, didn’t really see this until now.



 https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1156518153784057856

[GCANE]

06Z GFS just about makes it a clear shot into the GOM thru the Yucatan Channel.

[Kazmit]

Whether it hits the CONUS or not, looks like a high likelihood this could be a problem for many of the same islands that were battered by Hurricane Irma and/or Maria less than two years ago.

If it's already a well developed storm by then it certainly could be a threat. That would also mean a higher chance of it going out to sea afterwards though. If it's still weak or a wave when it passes the islands, it would have a greater chance of making landfall in the Bahamas or the CONUS. Either way, it looks like at least somebody will be affected.

[northjaxpro]

Yeah, this future 96L is potentially one we will have to reallly watch, especially as we get to about the middle of next week in particular.

The tropics are heating up now folks.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1156553507979374598

[psyclone]

Feels like August eve.

[Fego]

Hi. Besides this link related with invests codification, ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/
Which other is available?

[floridasun78]

what i getting i know still early in game that soon to be invest will turn by Bahamas area models been want show this past few days making weakness off coast

[toad strangler]

You know what time of year it is when you start seeing the term "thumb ridge"

[cycloneye]

Hi. Besides this link related with invests codification, ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/
Which other is available?

I dont have other links other than the one you posted so I join on the request for other links.

[AnnularCane]

You know what time of year it is when you start seeing the term "thumb ridge"

What is that? I must have missed that term before.

[floridasun78]

Hi. Besides this link related with invests codification, ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/
Which other is available?

I dont have other links other than the one you posted so I join on the request for other links.

this link will help understand when we get invest issue https://noaanhc.wordpress.com/2014/07/3 ... rologists/

[USTropics]

You know what time of year it is when you start seeing the term "thumb ridge"

What is that? I must have missed that term before.

It's exactly what it sounds like, a ridge that looks like a thumb print (see image below highlighted in green); amplified by the passing trough.

[TheStormExpert]

Ahh! The infamous “thumb ridge”, the one that pushed Matthew closer towards the FL coastline back in 2016.

Could be an interesting week ahead watching how things evolve with future 96L. The Euro too has the “thumb ridge” but not as noticeable, but the Euro also moves the East Coast trough out faster by day 10 allowing for what looks like some ridging to possibly build back in. Stay tuned!

[TheAustinMan]

Hi. Besides this link related with invests codification, ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/
Which other is available?

I dont have other links other than the one you posted so I join on the request for other links.

Another link (which I suspect websites often pull from) is the ATCF Sector File from the Naval Meteorological Laboratory. Just a tiny text file which gives JTWC/NHC intensities for tropical cyclones and invests globally.

06z GEFS track spreads. 157 kB. Source: Alan Brammer, UAlbany

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Not liking that GFS run, no sir

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like a circ is slowly tightening up on sat at the edge of the convection... wont take long once convection is able to build ... as soon as the sal slowly diminishes..

It can also been seen on recent ascat. Becoming more defined.

[SouthFLTropics]

12z GFS looks to be a decent clip faster than todays 06z.