Invest 93L Caribbean Sea,Sat Pics,Models and Comments

[jusforsean]

i am very confused 93l is being discussed in another thread i think i read that it wasnt 93l but it is on the navy site as 93l right? so theres one system we are watching located south west of fl? however i am also reading about another area near nicaragua that is suppose to merge with 93l, can someone clarify please?? Thanks!

[MiamiensisWx]

For some reason this feature is being discussed in another thread with a NW Carib disturbance title.

Don't know why, asked in that thread; but got no answer.

i am very confused 93l is being discussed in another thread i think i read that it wasnt 93l but it is on the navy site as 93l right? so theres one system we are watching located south west of fl? however i am also reading about another area near nicaragua that is suppose to merge with 93l, can someone clarify please?? Thanks!

The system being discussed in that thread is 93L. As 93L interacted with a weak low/tropical wave axis, the two systems merged, while the original 93L is forming a weak, broad low as it interacts with the other weak wave axis; thus, there is just one system, 93L. The other thread can be deleted.

[jusforsean]

36 people are viewingt the tropics where is everyone? Hellloooo

[jusforsean]

For some reason this feature is being discussed in another thread with a NW Carib disturbance title.

Don't know why, asked in that thread; but got no answer.

i am very confused 93l is being discussed in another thread i think i read that it wasnt 93l but it is on the navy site as 93l right? so theres one system we are watching located south west of fl? however i am also reading about another area near nicaragua that is suppose to merge with 93l, can someone clarify please?? Thanks!

The system being discussed in that thread is 93L. As 93L interacted with a weak low/tropical wave axis, the two systems merged, while the original 93L is forming a weak, broad low as it interacts with the other weak wave axis; thus, there is just one system, 93L. The other thread can be deleted.

Ahhh Thank You for the clarification, one 93l, one system to watch

[NONAME]

This invest reminds me of Alberto's prebirth.

[Sanibel]

Hard to say. Looks like something is trying to form but is too close to land. It could loop under the trough or go west with the EPAC flow.


Not sure what we are looking at?

[gatorcane]

the system finally is getting its act together but it waited WAY too long...its now nearly on land!!! Go figure, the story of 2006.............tease, tease, tease, nothing comes out of it, at least west of 60W.

[hial2]

the system finally is getting its act together but it waited WAY too long...its now nearly on land!!! Go figure, the story of 2006.............tease, tease, tease, nothing comes out of it, at least west of 60W.

Reminds me of an old girlfriend......

[Blown Away]

Does look much better this morning and does appear to be along the coast and moving SSW.

[Nimbus]

The trough is already starting to pull some of the moisture up over Florida from this area.

Mid level vorticity centered east of Belize does not seem to have as much convection under it this morning but it could pop later today.

Should be interesting to see how it interacts with the tail end of the front which has already dug south of the Mexican border in the gulf.

[ronjon]

Looks like the center of lowest pressure is just off the NE coast of Belize. Appears to be nearly stationary. A piece of energy and moisture has broken off and is headed for SW FL ahead of the next front. The globals build a huge high pressure (1032 mb) over the east half of the county and this drifts slowly east off the Carolina coast in 5 days. This will keep this disturbance suppressed to the south and may move it into Central America or the BOC. The 00Z CMC has an interesting solution this morning - it develops a LLC in the western caribbean in 4-5 days and moves it just north of the Yucatan in 6 days - don't know if its picking up a piece of this disturbance or forming something new.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[SouthFloridawx]

The 00Z CMC has an interesting solution this morning - it develops a LLC in the western caribbean in 4-5 days and moves it just north of the Yucatan in 6 days - don't know if its picking up a piece of this disturbance or forming something new.

I would think that it's picking up on the front that will be moving into the Caribbean and probably forming something on the tail end as this area as the current area formed.

[Toadstool]

I think Skeetobiteweather.com must have gotten bored with the season... it usually has invests posted, but not this one even though the plot is available at http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_93.gif.

[Blown Away]

I'm predicting a weak TS Joyce will result from this area.

[tailgater]

Looking a bit ominous this morning.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/171.jpg

[Chacor]

EDIT: Wrong thread

[superfly]

There's definitely something going on there but it'll probably move inland before it can do anything.

[tailgater]

This is from a ship just east of Belize City,

Nov-02-2006 06:00 19 12' N 87 18' W KS049 12.5 24.3 ESE N/A N/A N/A
Nov-02-2006 09:00 18 12' N 87 42' W KS049 9.9 19.2 SE N/A N/A N/A
Nov-02-2006 12:00 17 24' N 88 06' W KS049 3.6 7.0 WSW N/A N/A N

(sometimes ship reports are not very accurate) this ship also reported a pressure reading of 1006.0 mb

[drezee]

This is starting to get that classic look of a high leve lof moisture in the mid levels. It is is kind of a milky look to the clouds. This system is going to pop unless it moves over land or some weird happens like a asteriod.

[tailgater]

ABNT20 KNHC 021606
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EST THU NOV 2 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST EAST OF BELIZE IS
PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO LAND. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD AND INLAND.