Doesn't surprise me it has a code. I'm surprised the NHC dropped it this weekend.
Here we go again, tropics picking back up quickly.
New large wave behind Bill east of Lesser Antilles
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srainhoutx
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Re: New large wave behind Bill east of Lesser Antilles
HPC still talking about this one...snipet...
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
353 AM EDT MON AUG 24 2009
VALID 12Z FRI AUG 28 2009 - 12Z MON AUG 31 2009
MEANWHILE...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF A TROPICAL
WAVE NEAR 20N/50W...WHICH NEARLY ALL OF THE MODELS ALLOW TO
STRENGTHEN AS IT REACHES THE BAHAMAS BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD AND
VERY CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST DAY 4 AND BEYOND. WILL USE THE
RESULTS FROM THE TPC/HPC COORDINATION CALL FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AS A STARTING POINT WITH VERY LITTLE MODIFICATION UNTIL THE NEXT
COORDINATION CALL OCCURS LATER TODAY.
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
353 AM EDT MON AUG 24 2009
VALID 12Z FRI AUG 28 2009 - 12Z MON AUG 31 2009
MEANWHILE...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF A TROPICAL
WAVE NEAR 20N/50W...WHICH NEARLY ALL OF THE MODELS ALLOW TO
STRENGTHEN AS IT REACHES THE BAHAMAS BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD AND
VERY CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST DAY 4 AND BEYOND. WILL USE THE
RESULTS FROM THE TPC/HPC COORDINATION CALL FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AS A STARTING POINT WITH VERY LITTLE MODIFICATION UNTIL THE NEXT
COORDINATION CALL OCCURS LATER TODAY.
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Wxman57, yeah I agree for now its jsut a wave axis with fairly high shear. EVen the most agressive models don't start development till about 48hrs time so its safe to say that any development shouldn't happen before then.
Just need to keep watching to see when the shear does ease off. For now seems to me the ULL is helping to keep the convection going quite well.
Just need to keep watching to see when the shear does ease off. For now seems to me the ULL is helping to keep the convection going quite well.
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