gatorcane wrote:ut oh, good thing it is 10 days out....
Yeah, Gator, I think that 12Z Euro day 10 map suggests a hit on FL day 11/Sep 8, which is about the earliest day of a conus threat from this.
Tropical Wave about to emerge West Africa (Is Invest 92L)
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Yeah, Gator, I think that 12Z Euro day 10 map suggests a hit on FL day 11/Sep 8, which is about the earliest day of a conus threat from this.
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stormhunter7
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
This one is going to be a problem i think... if GFS is already showing a Caribbean runner!
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
stormhunter7 wrote:
This one is going to be a problem i think... if GFS is already showing a Caribbean runner!
Way to early to tell at this point. To be honest I actually feel more comfortable having it point at us at this point. When that happens it normally doesn't verify.
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Fourth Generation Florida Native
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CourierPR
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
If it travels as depicted it will encounter high mountains on Hispaniola and eastern Cuba which would seem to spell trouble for the system staying intact.
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Emmett_Brown
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
If this forms, we could see 4 simultaneous named systems in the Atlantic basin (assuming TD 8 and 9 make TS strength as the NHC currently predicts)
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Ahhh, the models 
One moment this Pouch is barrelling down on P.R. and the next, it's whimpering into the Florida Straits! Think I'll wait to speculate until seeing whether this wave is still showing up on visible satellite after passing the Cape Verde Islands lol!
One moment this Pouch is barrelling down on P.R. and the next, it's whimpering into the Florida Straits! Think I'll wait to speculate until seeing whether this wave is still showing up on visible satellite after passing the Cape Verde Islands lol!
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Andy D
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Yep, this is the weakest in several days of GFS runs but it is also continuing the trend of coming across at a lower latitude, further decreasing the chance of recurving/avoiding land IF it were to actually develop.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
1003 mbs east of Dominica.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Caribbean cruiser?
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
SSE of PR.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Westbound southwest of PR.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Definitly a Caribbean Cruiser.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Jamaica.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Over Jamaica.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
And then boom.Goes thru Yucatan channel and look.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Big H into the Gulf on the 18Z GFS!
Last edited by LarryWx on Sun Aug 28, 2016 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
CourierPR wrote:If it travels as depicted it will encounter high mountains on Hispaniola and eastern Cuba which would seem to spell trouble for the system staying intact.
I think if a system is large enough it can stay intact--Fay in 2008 for instance had little weakening after going right down the center of Hispaniola.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 25L)
Landfall Texas / Louisiana border.
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