Deshaunrob17 wrote:Who remembered in Julynand August the CFS been predicting a parade of MDR systems that miss land- scored.some points there...
Let's see what October brings which might be worrisome as the closer to home activity blossoms. However, my gut is telling me that the Cabo Verde Season might still be active the first half of October.
Also, La Nina and cool neutral years tend to give us late season Caribbean surprises. I hope that this crazy burst of activity doesn't continue into October because it will definitely be more impactful
CFS has been showing it extending into October--the last few runs have at least four MDR storms in the first half and has consistently lowered pressures in the western Caribbean as well most of October--a sign that it'll likely be active even if it's inconsistent in showing storms.
I remember even on the quieter CFS runs that would show up sporadically, the line of average sea level pressure was quite far to the north--indicative of the activity that would be present.
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