TS Ernesto: Sat Pics, Models, Analysis Thread XI (#11)

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all_we_know_is_FALLING
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#341 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:10 pm

ROCK wrote:All we know, stop quoting the page with the map please...I have seen it 5 times already...thank you....


Sorry. I was taking it out on the next post.
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#342 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:12 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:
ROCK wrote:All we know, stop quoting the page with the map please...I have seen it 5 times already...thank you....


Sorry. I was taking it out on the next post.



All we know, you are looking at the EPAC system....change storms...
Last edited by ROCK on Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#343 Postby theworld » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:13 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:
Myersgirl wrote:
all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:
Myersgirl wrote:
all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
cmdebbie wrote:"I am not saying this won't hit pensacola, I am just saying the latest GFDL does not have this hitting Pensacola" the latest GFDL does not have this hitting anywhere yet!


AH! I keep seeing this map. What is it? All I see is lines over Mexico.

You may need a geography lesson :roll:

Uhh. Excuse me? Seriously.. All I see is lines over Mexico. I know where Mexico is!

thats Cuba

Haha. You guys probably think I'm crazy.
I swear, on my comp it is over Mexico. The yellow one ends up in SoCal.


Mexico :D ROFL
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#344 Postby Bolebuns » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:13 pm

I like this link. Many images all in one place:

http://geocities.com/tropicwx/

Enjoy!
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#345 Postby miamicanes177 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:13 pm

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO (AL052006) ON 20060827 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060827 0000 060827 1200 060828 0000 060828 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.5N 72.2W 17.8N 74.3W 18.6N 76.1W 19.0N 77.9W
BAMM 16.5N 72.2W 17.8N 74.5W 18.7N 76.5W 19.2N 78.4W
A98E 16.5N 72.2W 17.6N 74.5W 18.6N 76.5W 19.7N 78.5W
LBAR 16.5N 72.2W 17.9N 74.4W 19.5N 76.5W 21.0N 78.2W
SHIP 50KTS 59KTS 71KTS 80KTS
DSHP 50KTS 59KTS 71KTS 78KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060829 0000 060830 0000 060831 0000 060901 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.2N 79.6W 19.9N 82.9W 20.7N 85.7W 21.1N 87.4W
BAMM 19.6N 80.1W 20.5N 83.2W 21.6N 85.3W 22.3N 86.2W
A98E 20.9N 80.6W 23.5N 85.0W 25.9N 88.3W 27.6N 89.0W
LBAR 21.9N 79.6W 23.1N 81.6W 23.8N 82.7W 24.2N 83.3W
SHIP 89KTS 100KTS 105KTS 101KTS
DSHP 87KTS 77KTS 81KTS 78KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 16.5N LONCUR = 72.2W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 14.9N LONM12 = 70.5W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 14.4N LONM24 = 68.4W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 997MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 50NM

$$
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#346 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:14 pm

Hmm...

Luis, are you sure that map you just posted in the advisory thread is correct?
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#347 Postby Myersgirl » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:14 pm

sorry all we know, I should have been more tactfull
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#348 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:14 pm

Thanks you guys, sorry about that. :lol:
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#349 Postby GTStorm » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:14 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:The red line on here is the GFDL. It will give those a hard time finding it in the other image an easier time:

Image


Looks like the BAMM is trying to pick up on a turn also. Sort of. Although how much stock you put into the change in the last 2 data points of a curve, I don't really know.
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#350 Postby miamicanes177 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:15 pm

00Z SHIPS FORECASTING RAPID INTENSIFICATION TO 105KTS. :eek:
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#351 Postby Scorpion » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:15 pm

SHIPS is forecasting the strongest yet.
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#352 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:18 pm

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO (AL052006) ON 20060827 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060827 0000 060827 1200 060828 0000 060828 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.5N 72.2W 17.8N 74.3W 18.6N 76.1W 19.0N 77.9W
BAMM 16.5N 72.2W 17.8N 74.5W 18.7N 76.5W 19.2N 78.4W
A98E 16.5N 72.2W 17.6N 74.5W 18.6N 76.5W 19.7N 78.5W
LBAR 16.5N 72.2W 17.9N 74.4W 19.5N 76.5W 21.0N 78.2W
SHIP 50KTS 59KTS 71KTS 80KTS
DSHP 50KTS 59KTS 71KTS 78KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060829 0000 060830 0000 060831 0000 060901 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.2N 79.6W 19.9N 82.9W 20.7N 85.7W 21.1N 87.4W
BAMM 19.6N 80.1W 20.5N 83.2W 21.6N 85.3W 22.3N 86.2W
A98E 20.9N 80.6W 23.5N 85.0W 25.9N 88.3W 27.6N 89.0W
LBAR 21.9N 79.6W 23.1N 81.6W 23.8N 82.7W 24.2N 83.3W
SHIP 89KTS 100KTS 105KTS 101KTS
DSHP 87KTS 77KTS 81KTS 78KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 16.5N LONCUR = 72.2W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 14.9N LONM12 = 70.5W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 14.4N LONM24 = 68.4W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 997MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 50NM

Moving now at 300 degrees.
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#353 Postby cinlfla » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:19 pm

and what is 300 degrees please
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#354 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:19 pm

cinlfla wrote:and what is 300 degrees please


NW?
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#355 Postby Noles2006 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:21 pm

300* is WNW [270 + 270 + 360/3 = 300].
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#356 Postby caneman » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:21 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
cinlfla wrote:and what is 300 degrees please


NW?


285 WNW and 315 NW so somewhere in between. :D
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#357 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:22 pm

caneman wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
cinlfla wrote:and what is 300 degrees please


NW?


285 WNW and 315 NW so somewhere in between. :D


yeah so basically it is moving more N of WNW...very interesting as it continues to gain lattitude.
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#358 Postby TheShrimper » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:22 pm

315 is NW
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#359 Postby Noles2006 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:22 pm

gatorcane wrote:
caneman wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
cinlfla wrote:and what is 300 degrees please


NW?


285 WNW and 315 NW so somewhere in between. :D


yeah so basically it is moving more N of WNW...very interesting as it continues to gain lattitude.


No, it's not. 300* is WNW exactly.
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#360 Postby Innotech » Sat Aug 26, 2006 7:23 pm

LMAO. I have a forecast. Homeowners insurance in Florida is about to go up again.
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