Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

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cycloneye
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#381 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:18 pm

Crazy,maybe they want to get another VDM before the 11 PM advisory.
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#382 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:19 pm

Heading towards the eye methinks, 102 kts at the end of the last run.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#383 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:21 pm

Yes, they are heading back to eye. I'm following it on GE.
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#384 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:26 pm

138kt FL, 925.7 mb extrap
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Re:

#385 Postby gotoman38 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:28 pm

RL3AO wrote:138kt FL, 925.7 mb extrap


In the SE quad - I think that's stronger than we've seen there??

EDIT - sorry about that - NW quad after passing the eye
Last edited by gotoman38 on Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#386 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:29 pm

gotoman38 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:138kt FL, 925.7 mb extrap


In the SE quad - I think that's stronger than we've seen there??


It is.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#387 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:30 pm

138kt FL winds in the NW Quad. Seems this Quad has the strongest winds now.

This may not be the highest as they haven't gotten to the outer eyewall in NW Quad yet. There is still a double wind maxima.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#388 Postby mf_dolphin » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:30 pm

The 138 was in the north west quad. Also 136 and 132.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#389 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:32 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:The 138 was in the north west quad. Also 136 and 132.


Should they check northeast again?
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#390 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:36 pm

Just in. As I suspected they just found 143kts at FL level.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#391 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:37 pm

Thunder44 wrote:Just in. As I suspected they just found 143kts at FL level.



Must be the outer eyewall.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#392 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:38 pm

Thunder44 wrote:Just in. As I suspected they just found 143kts at FL level.
and this after a deterioration in the sat presentation. I think it was likely a cat 5 briefly earlier today as it skirted Jamaica.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#393 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:40 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:Just in. As I suspected they just found 143kts at FL level.
and this after a deterioration in the sat presentation. I think it was likely a cat 5 briefly earlier today as it skirted Jamaica.


Probably not. That 138kt reading was probably in the outer eyewall which has strengthened in the past few hours.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#394 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:45 pm

RL3AO wrote:Probably not. That 138kt reading was probably in the outer eyewall which has strengthened in the past few hours.
Probably not a cat 5 earlier? Before the plane left they found 146kts at flight level and the next several hours it looked better and better. At that time the winds were 150mph (or should have been)...with the better presentation the winds likely increased an additional 6 mph at least.
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#395 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:46 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Probably not. That 138kt reading was probably in the outer eyewall which has strengthened in the past few hours.
Probably not a cat 5 earlier? Before the plane left they found 146kts at flight level and the next several hours it looked better and better. At that time the winds were 150mph (or should have been)...with the better presentation the winds likely increased an additional 6 mph at least.


Maybe it did brush it.
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#396 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:48 pm

STARS VISIBLE ABOVE IN CENTER

Thats from the VDM, pretty cool, eh? That would be cool to see.
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#397 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:50 pm

NHC posts 924 mb, I assume they have more data than us.
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Re:

#398 Postby Pebbles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 10:01 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:NHC posts 924 mb, I assume they have more data than us.


Looks like that was a typo cause earlier in that same adv. it says 925 mb
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Re: Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

#399 Postby dwsqos2 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 11:00 pm

034700 1745N 07859W 6955 02764 9560 +128 +128 100132 133 125 000 00

SFMR winds are higher this pass through the northeastern quadrant; actually, flight-level winds are as well (144 knots).
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Scorpion

#400 Postby Scorpion » Sun Aug 19, 2007 11:07 pm

We should see 130 kt for 2 AM if this is correct
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