BOC system

[Ivanhater]

12z UKMET



12Z Euro

[Ivanhater]

18z Para GFS...notice the banding





edit...looks like bonnie on this run

[Ivanhater]

18z Nogaps

[Macrocane]

The models have not been consistent but it seems they're sniffing something, I have an increasing feeling thatwe won't have to wait too much for Bonnie (or at least TD Three).

[floridasun78]

but could run out time like other area as move toward central america

[xcool22]

watch SW Caribbean !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Vortmax1]

All of this supposed Western Caribbean development looks like it's all heading for EPAC development.

[rockyman]

HWRF for 96E shows low pressure in the NW Caribbean in 5 days:

[Ivanhater]

The FIMZ model(experimental) also develops the SW Caribbean system..brings it to...Texas/Mexico border. I think that would be a record if the first 3 systems hit the same region



http://fim.noaa.gov/FIMscp/jsloop.cgi?d ... n=0&wjet=1

[wxman57]

There really aren't too many times when the models don't forecast some type of weak low in that region of the SW Caribbean from May through November. I'm not too concerned about development down there yet. Maybe we can go through the end of next week without Bonnie. Hope so.

[Ivanhater]

I'm not so sure wxman, that GFS Para is interesting. Looks to develop a tropical storm with banding features, separate of the normal Panama heat low. Guess we will find out soon enough though, not much else to talk about

[xcool22]

look like a 2007 set-up hmmm

[wxman57]

GFS forecasts development on the coast of Nicaragua within 48 hrs now. Seems unlikely.

[lonelymike]

When the Euro gets on board

[Macrocane]

That's what I'm waiting for to believe that there is really going to be development.

[floridasun78]

right now their notthing write about down in sw carribbean few storm untill we see building storm that when we start say model are right

[NOLA2010]

right now their notthing write about down in sw carribbean few storm untill we see building storm that when we start say model are right

I am sorry, but I don't understand anything that you said.

[ROCK]

need to wait for some of these waves to make their way across before I think we will have developement.

until the CMC and EURO start sniffing something significant I am enjoying the lull.

[Ivanhater]

canadian

[southerngale]

I think the Canadian also had a hurricane hitting around here about a week ago.

I guess I need to read previous posts as I haven't been around much today.