2025 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)

[cycloneye]

The last two runs of the Euro Weeklies for the week 5/26-6/1 have backed way down on the chance for W Caribbean/gyre originating activity later threatening FL/SE US.

Hi my friend. Moved your post to this model runs thread from the indicators one. By the way, you are in orange now. Thank you for supporting S2K.

[WeatherBoy2000]

The last two runs of the Euro Weeklies for the week 5/26-6/1 have backed way down on the chance for W Caribbean/gyre originating activity later threatening FL/SE US.

The eps has moved any development signal to the epac, and the gfs/gefs seems to be heading in that direction as well. Not surprising, climo overwhelmingly favors the epac in May.

[TomballEd]

Nothing definite but hints in GFS and Canadian of a possible weak attempt at cyclogenesis in the sub-tropics S of Bermuda and E of SEUSA in the next few days. If even the models aren't really enthusiastic, not likely, but subtropical season is about here. No NHC fruits.

[WaveBreaking]

GFS back at it again with the 300+ hour nonsense.

[cycloneye]

GFS back at it again with the 300+ hour nonsense.

https://i.imgur.com/CTrqYQw.png

Cat 4 in May.

[Hurricane2022]

GFS back at it again with the 300+ hour nonsense.

https://i.imgur.com/CTrqYQw.png

This would be Absolute Cinema