Post your numbers for the 2003 hurricane season here

[photopete]

I'm going to go with 13/8/3. La Nina will factor in with more hurricanes this season due to less shear. My only question will be the eastern Atlantic and what the Azores high will do this year. Past couple of Cape Verde seasons have been below normal. We need a healthy progression of waves across the Atlantic this season. Just hope none of the majors hit land. Pete

[OtherHD]

A few more numbers to add:

TWW, SC, and Kevin are saying 13/7/3
Great One is saying 17/10/7

[Guest]

LOL HD - now where did you get their numbers? You know they have been banned - but its ok - Ceye can include them in the predictions

[OtherHD]

Well ticka, I included TWW and crew because they know their stuff, and I included great one because I thought we could use a good laugh.

[Stormsfury]

Well ticka, I included TWW and crew because they know their stuff, and I included great one because I thought we could use a good laugh.

*LOL*
TWW, Supercane, and Kevin have good numbers IMO and a very detailed analysis to back their numbers ...

As for Greatone, well ... thanks for the good laugh, OtherHD!...*LOL*

[cycloneye]

Update of the forecasts for the 2003 hurricane season:

Cycloneye=14/8/3
OtherHD=12/7/2
Rainband=12/6/4
wx247=15/6/3
chad=15/9/3
pojo=14/7/3
King of weather=14/7/3
Stormsfury=13/9/3
Vbhoutex=15/8/5
mf dolphin=14/8/4
ticka=13/9/3
Amanzi=13/8/3
Coldfront77=14/8/4
Jabber=15/9/4
therock1811=13/7/2
deb in fI=11/3/3
Gulfbrezzer=15/8/4
isobar=13/8/4
Raindaze1=14/5/4
JetMaxx=12/6/2
GalvestonDuck=15/9/6
JCT777=10/6/3
The Cycloman PR=15/9/4
southerngale=16/9/4
Steve=14/8/4
Steve H=13/8/3
rainstorm=11/6/2
Toni-574=13/9/3

The list is growing as time goes by and keep the forecasts comming here.

[rainstorm]

first, too many things have to go just right for a truly active and interesting season. while the pattern may change often times the pattern we have in may lasts through the summer. i expect the azores high to be normal or a little stronger than normal. sst's in the deep atlantic tropics are a little cool. i also expect a strong pcat this season, stronger than last season. a moderate la nina is one thing that favors an active season. i am not terribly impressed with the indian monsoon, which seems about average this summer.
6-hurricanes
2-major
i feel the east coast north of jacksonville will likely be safe for another season. south florida or the west gulf coast seems most likely for a landfall, though i feel the chances of a landfall anywhere are a little below average. (hurricane landfalls)
of course, any season , even very slow ones can have a donna or andrew

[cycloneye]

Rainstorm you forgot to include the total number of named storms.

[OtherHD]

I'm sure it was intentional, and I'm 90% sure it has something to do with "naked circs"............

[rainstorm]

Rainstorm you forgot to include the total number of named storms.

after last season, the way the nhc was naming things, the number of named storms may be meaningless now. however, just to give a number, i will say 11, including ana.

[cycloneye]

Thanks rainstorm you haved been added to the growing list of forecasts numbers from the storm2k members.

[rainstorm]

cool

[Stormsfury]

RS, not too bad at all with the forecast for the season.

[rainstorm]

RS, not too bad at all with the forecast for the season.

[JCT777]

Rainstorm you forgot to include the total number of named storms.

after last season, the way the nhc was naming things, the number of named storms may be meaningless now. however, just to give a number, i will say 11, including ana.

You know the world is about to end because rainstorm predicted more total named storms than I did. Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeepppppppppppppp!!! :o

[Stormsfury]

Thanks!

RS, not too bad at all with the forecast for the season.

You're welcome, RS ... Those numbers were my preliminary numbers back in December 2002 when a little uncertainty lingered in my mind about lingering effects from El Niño.

The season and overall pattern right now is still lagging behind somewhat, maybe by a month or so ... but after it's all said and done, a more typical regime pattern and possibly an overall pattern change of one more typical of a weak La Niña could transpose actually quite rapidly as the battle between seasons continues.

The fact is the Northern Hemisphere set a record for the most snowcover this 2002-2003 season ... and with this blocky pattern, cool stays cool, and warm to hot stays warm to hot. With the battleground in between...see early May for the consequences of the battleground.

Here's the Dr. Dewpoint report (from Intellicast)...
http://www.intellicast.com/DrDewpoint/Library/1386/

It took some time to melt down that snowcover.

[Toni - 574]

Hey Cycloneye, nice to see you here on this board!
My predictions are: 13-9-3 Toni

3-GOM lanfalls with 1 major
3- Island landfalls with 1 major
2-W. Atlantic landfalls with 1 major
5-storms will re-curve in the Atlantic

[cycloneye]

Welcome to storm2k and let's see how the season pans out with your numbers Toni.

[rainstorm]

Hey Cycloneye, nice to see you here on this board!
My predictions are: 13-9-3 Toni

3-GOM lanfalls with 1 major
3- Island landfalls with 1 major
2-W. Atlantic landfalls with 1 major
5-storms will re-curve in the Atlantic

[chadtm80]

Good Numbers Toni