TD Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #8

[rnbaida]

Looks like finally trying to wrap convection, but looks to be toooooo late.

Intensification can still continue over the glades and Okeechobee.

Yes I've heard of this happaning before I just don't know with which storm

KATRINA!!!

[Trugunzn]

Remember Katrinia when it went over soutern florida. It held its intensity.

[cinlfla]

Oh Duh!!!!

[fci]

Remember Katrinia when it went over soutern florida. It held its intensity.

Katrina was also intensifying as it came in.
This one has not been intensifying and has never been particularly well organized.

[rnbaida]

i can clearly see the circulation on radar.. about 4-5 more hours and we are going to have a landfall...

[ocala]

Using Nexrad3 Software I am able to stop/start/ backward/forward the animation. It also has lon/lat data. I have been trying to find a COC. I'll admit its very hard. This is what I have found. At 5:24PM I was able to locate a COC at 24.3N 80.1W. At 6:36PM I found a COC at 24.7N 80.2W. At first I thought just the convection had taken a northward jog but it appears right now its on a NNW track. This could be the northward movement or it could be just a slight jog. I'll see what it looks like in another hour.

[rnbaida]

how can i post an image for you guys to see. I am using the GRlevel3 radar....

[THead]

*CBS4 just reported a fatality in an weather related auto accident on 836.

*2 elderly women were air-lifted to a local hospital this afternoon after their aluminum hurricane shutters toppled on top of them.

Point? This is a big deal in some South Florida homes this evening.

Unfortunately due to the sheer size of the S. Fla metro population, chances are there are going to be a few deaths in any tropical system. I'm not surprised at all to see this, and won't be surprised to hear about a few more in the next 24 hours.

[bucman1]

Its time fellow trackers to let go of Ernesto and look forward to the next one.

When will the next TC occur?

[gatorcane]

Looks like its about to come ashore up near Key Largo, quite a N movement as of late.

[SunnyThoughts]

nice blowup for sure http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

[tgenius]

Looks like its about to come ashore up near Key Largo, quite a N movement as of late.

You expecting anything more out of this, I think it rained harder last week then this...

[gatorcane]

Looks like its about to come ashore up near Key Largo, quite a N movement as of late.

You expecting anything more out of this, I think it rained harder last week then this...

some interesting strong bands blowing up offshore Miami/Ft.Lauderdale...who knows what they have in them

[jabber]

I guess it could but I doubt it will. He had enough chance today and did not ramp up, I doubt he will over land. I do not think we will get anything from this storm (Boynton Beach). Really glad I did not put shutters up... they would have stayed up for the rest of the season.... looks like in the next couple weeks I could be putting them up anyways. Gotta love the weather.

Looks like finally trying to wrap convection, but looks to be toooooo late.

Intensification can still continue over the glades and Okeechobee.

[Thatsmrhurricane]

When they say "tilted" do they mean as in this sat image?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/rgb-l.jpg

From W to E that is. High clouds to the left and lower clouds showing to the right?

[JonathanBelles]

looks like a band just went south of me

[Sanibel]

You can see it trying to curl in that tighter eye to the right. Probably a byproduct of the Gulf Stream in an overall weak system.

[Zackiedawg]

Really glad I did not put shutters up... they would have stayed up for the rest of the season.... looks like in the next couple weeks I could be putting them up anyways. Gotta love the weather.

Gotta love the hurricane proof windows! I had them put in on my house 8 years ago...windows, sliding doors, etc. Had the garage door reinforced with cross bars, and a steel front door.

Makes the hurricane season a bit less stressful:

Preparations for a hurricane:

1. Bring in patio furniture.
2. Have a beer.

Plus - the added advantages - you get to watch the storm, and when the storm is just over and you have no power, you can open the windows without having to take down shutters.

Now if only I could get a natural gas generator installed before the next serious storm!!!

[Lowpressure]

When they say "tilted" do they mean as in this sat image?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/rgb-l.jpg

From W to E that is. High clouds to the left and lower clouds showing to the right?

I would think tilted would mean the core not aligning through all levels of the atmosphere.

[Thatsmrhurricane]

When they say "tilted" do they mean as in this sat image?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/rgb-l.jpg

From W to E that is. High clouds to the left and lower clouds showing to the right?

I would think tilted would mean the core aligning through all levels of the atmosphere.

I am just trying to see if that is what tilted looks like.