Remnents of Typhoon Ioke

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whereverwx
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#41 Postby whereverwx » Mon Sep 04, 2006 3:52 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:Does anybody have a nice satellite shot of Ioke at her strongest?

Thanks,
Darren

It's kind of hard to determine when she was at her strongest, but here you go.

Image

Image

Image

Image
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#42 Postby P.K. » Mon Sep 04, 2006 6:19 pm

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 042100UTC 33.1N 147.1E GOOD
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 070KT
50KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST
30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 052100UTC 41.4N 150.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 27KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
45HF 061800UTC 49.1N 162.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 33KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
69HF 071800UTC 52.5N 174.8W 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
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#43 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 9:23 pm

Ioke has certainly upwelled a lot of Pacific water:

Image

From https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/NCO ... bl_sst.gif
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#44 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Sep 04, 2006 9:38 pm

Is there any word on whether Wake Island still exists?
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#45 Postby P.K. » Tue Sep 05, 2006 4:42 am

Have a look at http://khon.com/khon/displayStory.cfm?storyID=15123.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 35.7N 147.5E GOOD
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST
30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 44.6N 157.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 34KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
48HF 070600UTC 53.2N 178.3W 220NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
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#46 Postby Pebbles » Tue Sep 05, 2006 5:01 am

Wow... pretty impressive considering the hit that island took. They musta built right!
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#47 Postby oceancounty » Tue Sep 05, 2006 5:39 am

I was also wondering about the status of Wake Island myself. I read that the US Air Force was going to send a plane to check the status of the island, but I haven't heard anything about it since then. I will post if I hear anything else.
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#48 Postby oceancounty » Tue Sep 05, 2006 5:56 am

Oh, thank you P.K. I just read the article after I had already posted the above post. I'm a little slow in the mornings! :roll: That is unbelievable though, I guess they built things nice and strong on that island!!!
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#49 Postby Jim Cantore » Tue Sep 05, 2006 10:21 am

Lucky the worst part of Ioke missed the island.
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#50 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Sep 05, 2006 10:50 am

My guess is they got cat-2 to lower cat-3 winds, being in the "good" side of the eyewall.
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#51 Postby Coredesat » Tue Sep 05, 2006 1:04 pm

NWS Anchorage:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT TUE SEP 5 2006
.DISCUSSION...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN OVER THE AREA WITH A LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF...
A RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...AND A VERY STRONG BLOCKING
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS EXTENDING NORTH THROUGH BRITISH
COLUMBIA AND THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES. SOUTHERN ALASKA CONTINUES IN
CYCLONIC FLOW...AND THUS MORE PERIODS OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS...FOR
MOST OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF LOW REMAINS LOCKED IN PLACE BY THE
NORTHWEST BLOCKING RIDGE. ALSO OF NOTE IS THE EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITIONING OF FORMER SUPER TYPHOON IOKE JUST EAST OF JAPAN.

THE REMNANTS OF IOKE ARE FORECAST TO LINK UP WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVING OFF OF SIBERIA LATER TODAY. THIS WILL RAPIDLY SPIN UP INTO A
DEEP CYCLONE AND MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA ON WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR TIMING AND LOCATION OF THIS LOW THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND THEN START TO DIVERGE AS IT REACHES THE EASTERN
BERING SEA AND AKPEN. IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL END UP IN THE NORTHERN
GULF FOR THE WEEKEND...WHERE IT WILL LIKELY STALL IN RESPONSE TO THE
NORTHWEST BLOCKING RIDGE. AFTER THIS POINT THE GFS SEEMS TO LOSE
TOUCH WITH REALITY. IN FACT ALL OF THE (FEW) OTHER MODELS THAT
FORECAST THIS FAR OUT BECOME CLUELESS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT THIS
TIME OF YEAR THAT IS NOT UNCOMMON.


:roflmao:

Laughter aside, it appears Ioke will definitely be a formidable extratropical cyclone by the time it gets up there.
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#52 Postby TampaSteve » Tue Sep 05, 2006 1:09 pm



Should rename it Timex Island...takes a licking and keeps on ticking... :D
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#53 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Sep 05, 2006 2:26 pm

Link found from another site showing actual images of Wake Island after Ioke.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?storyID=123026374
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#54 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Sep 05, 2006 4:46 pm

Ioke has become extratropical and has been finalled out-the long sojourn is over.

Steve
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#55 Postby senorpepr » Tue Sep 05, 2006 4:50 pm

ZCZC 435
WTPQ20 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 39.3N 151.5E GOOD
MOVE NE 24KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 100NM NORTHWEST
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 240NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 51.5N 169.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 49KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
48HF 071800UTC 56.3N 170.0W 220NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
NNNN
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#56 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Sep 05, 2006 4:57 pm

i thought it was extratropical?
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#57 Postby WindRunner » Tue Sep 05, 2006 5:03 pm

Per the JTWC it is, and the appearance is most certainly that of an ET storm, however JMA (the real officials) forecast it to be ET by T+48, so it is still a typhoon as of now.
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#58 Postby P.K. » Tue Sep 05, 2006 5:03 pm

Not just yet from RSMC Tokyo.

WTPQ20 RJTD 052100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 052100UTC 40.6N 152.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE 27KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 100NM NORTHWEST
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 240NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 062100UTC 52.4N 170.8E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 47KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
45HF 071800UTC 56.3N 170.0W 220NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
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#59 Postby WindRunner » Tue Sep 05, 2006 10:01 pm

Now a STS at 60kts and Ioke is still accelerating. ET in 24 hours this time, which keeps it on the WPAC side of the dateline. It'll be a significant storm for Alaska once it does cross, though.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0612 IOKE (0612) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060000UTC 42.2N 153.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 31KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
50KT 170NM SOUTHEAST 100NM NORTHWEST
30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 250NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 070000UTC 53.5N 173.7E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
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#60 Postby senorpepr » Tue Sep 05, 2006 10:06 pm

From Anchorage NWS...
(the 967mb low is the remnants of Ioke)

Image
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