Goni and Atsani with peaks of 880's and 890's...
This will be a sight to behold...
2015 WPAC Season
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
Goni and Atsani with peaks of 880's and 890's...
This will be a sight to behold...
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
Out of 12 hurricanes and typhoons of Cat 4 and 5, eight of them in the WPAC...
The previous earliest date for the 12th was back in Sept 2004...
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
It has happened only 5 times since 1950 that Simultaneous super typhoons have coexisted...
Can Goni and Atsani become the 6th?
Can Goni and Atsani become the 6th?
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
Interestingly, EURO trying to develop Etau from a disturbance from the CPAC that moves into the area, makes it a TS in 144 hours, TY in 168 hours and does a fujiwhara with recurving Atsani....
It's currently tagged as an Invest but no number...
TXPN26 KNES 191747
TCSCNP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
B. 19/1730Z
C. 14.9N
D. 178.6W
E. FIVE/GOES-W
F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...CURVED BANDING WRAPS .25 ON LOG-10 SPIRAL FOR A DT OF
1.0. MET AND PT ARE ALSO 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...VELASCO
It's currently tagged as an Invest but no number...
TXPN26 KNES 191747
TCSCNP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
B. 19/1730Z
C. 14.9N
D. 178.6W
E. FIVE/GOES-W
F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...CURVED BANDING WRAPS .25 ON LOG-10 SPIRAL FOR A DT OF
1.0. MET AND PT ARE ALSO 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...VELASCO
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
Gonna be a long road ahead...couple of lows lined up which one will develop?
Time will tell...
Time will tell...
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
With Atsani becoming the 5th Cat 5 of the year, 2015 is still ahead of the record 10 Cat 5's of 1997 which saw it's 5th Cat 5 from Super Typhoon Oliwa on September 9th.
More than 3 weeks early...
More than 3 weeks early...
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1900hurricane
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Nice portrait of the WPac featuring the twins from several hours ago.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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1900hurricane
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The bugger just on the other side of the dateline has been tagged as 94C. It will likely cross into the WPac pretty soon.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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galaxy401
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Re: Re:
euro6208 wrote:1900hurricane wrote:Nice portrait of the WPac featuring the twins from several hours ago.
18 years ago last time this happened, 2 months apart in the last Super Nino...
You keep bringing up Ivan and Joan but Goni and Astani don't really compare to those two since one was a cat 4 and one was a cat 5 briefly. I'm sure there are other twin typhoons you can compare this to. Seeing Ivan and Joan like storms could still happen this year but it's rare.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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mrbagyo
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Re: 2015 WPAC Season
galaxy401 wrote:euro6208 wrote:1900hurricane wrote:Nice portrait of the WPac featuring the twins from several hours ago.
18 years ago last time this happened, 2 months apart in the last Super Nino...
You keep bringing up Ivan and Joan but Goni and Astani don't really compare to those two since one was a cat 4 and one was a cat 5 briefly. I'm sure there are other twin typhoons you can compare this to. Seeing Ivan and Joan like storms could still happen this year but it's rare.
Brace yourselves, we're about to enter the last quarter of 2015 (Expected Peak of EL NINO) - things are going to get more exciting especially from the middle of Sept until end of the year, i expect to see some really wild typhoons on October though.
Who knows if we'll witness better twins or triplets or quadruplets during this coming "ber" months??
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dexterlabio
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While I agree that Goni and Atsani are not quite there yet to match 1997's Ivan and Joan, this is already an incredible feat. To note that these two formed without the aid of strong MJO signal over the WPAC or a CCKW... Besides it is only August. With this lingering El Nino, the typhoon season is well extended until December so we'll never know if this is all the WPAC has got. 
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
mrbagyo wrote:galaxy401 wrote:
18 years ago last time this happened, 2 months apart in the last Super Nino...
You keep bringing up Ivan and Joan but Goni and Astani don't really compare to those two since one was a cat 4 and one was a cat 5 briefly. I'm sure there are other twin typhoons you can compare this to. Seeing Ivan and Joan like storms could still happen this year but it's rare.
Brace yourselves, we're about to enter the last quarter of 2015 (Expected Peak of EL NINO) - things are going to get more exciting especially from the middle of Sept until end of the year, i expect to see some really wild typhoons on October though.
Who knows if we'll witness better twins or triplets or quadruplets during this coming "ber" months??
Agreed. This is what 1997 delivered from September to December. 2015 is still way ahead of that year...
Although post analysis has Keith peaking at 155 knots, that's six Cat 5's with three peaking at 160 knots and end of the year STY Paka Leveling Guam!
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xtyphooncyclonex
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What's happening now is amazing but your hyping is getting annoying
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: Re:
euro6208 wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote::uarrow: What's happening now is amazing but your hyping is getting annoying
Not hyping but it's based on actual events
I mean about Goni and Atsani. Not even close to Ivan and Joan
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
galaxy401 wrote:euro6208 wrote:Models now hinting on Krovanh after Etau and Vamco...
Are you certain that storm will be Krovanh? What if that one is Etau or Vamco?
Well the EURO develops Etau but doesn't develop anymore systems after. GFS still develops 2 or 3 weak systems...
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euro6208
Re: 2015 WPAC Season
Well the models have backed off with EURO no longer showing Etau and the GFS no longer developing the 2-3 weak systems...All models except the CMC, (which develops another twin typhoons near the Philippines}, indicates a quiet last week for August for now.
Here comes September...
Here comes September...
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