Global Model Runs for W.Caribbean Early Season Development

[JonathanBelles]

is it gonna be wet enough?

[Rainband]

actually thats a lot of dry air

[Eyewall]

But that can change quick.

[Rainband]

But that can change quick.

do you realize what a storm in the GOM can do to already rising gas prices??

[boca]

We will all be riding bikes and mopeds to work.

[boca]

We have 24 pages of a huntch of a possible storm that hasn't even formed yet.I'm guily too because I posted quite a bit too.

[Duddy]

We have 24 pages of a huntch of a possible storm that hasn't even formed yet.I'm guily too because I posted quite a bit too.

But that's the reason I LOVE this community!!! Everyone on here is just as excited as I am.

Before I found this board, I thought I was a freak for hoping that a storm forms!

[Vortex]

I know its the NAM but the 00z 5/26 indicates "disturbed weather" over the SW carribean with a weak area of low pressure. This is the first run that has a significant increase in the moisture etc across the region...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif

[Eyewall]

I can do this all day this is the time of year I live for.

[Duddy]

I can do this all day this is the time of year I live for.

Hell yeah! If this thread reaches 100 pages before anything forms, it means we are all doing what we love!

[boca]

The funny thing about this thread also is if the CMC was developing a system this thread would be maybe 2 pages at most.I do give the GFS credit since its the most reliable model so break out the popcorn and lets watch this possibly materalize.

[boca]

I know its the NAM but the 00z 5/26 indicates "disturbed weather" over the SW carribean with a weak area of low pressure. This is the first run that has a significant increase in the moisture etc across the region...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif

I wonder whats going to kick off this potential system?

[tailgater]

But that can change quick.

do you realize what a storm in the GOM can do to already rising gas prices??

Just a threat of a storm can raise fuel prices, so lets keep this on the down low.

4 maps to keep an eye on as the week goes on.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8conv.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html

[Eyewall]

It seems to be the moisture coming form the pacific that will get it started.

[JonathanBelles]

It seems to be the moisture coming form the pacific that will get it started.

Thats what I am thinking.

[Duddy]

But that can change quick.

do you realize what a storm in the GOM can do to already rising gas prices??

Just a threat of a storm can raise fuel prices, so lets keep this on the down low.

4 maps to keep an eye on as the week goes on.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8conv.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html

You know there is a oil market speculator on this board just waiting to tell his bosses to jack up the price.

[Duddy]

It seems to be the moisture coming form the pacific that will get it started.

Definatly, that moisture just isn't going to magically appear in the W. Carib.

[cycloneye]

Or it may form from the tail end of that frontal trough that is now in the Western Caribbean.

[Duddy]

Or it may form from the tail end of that trough that is now in the Western Caribbean.

I think it might help get rid of the dry air and maybe pull some moisture in from the Pacific, but I don't think it will be the main source of moisture for this system.

[Duddy]

Or it may form from the tail end of that frontal trough that is now in the Western Caribbean.

Oh, and the Chat room isn't working! I'm using Firefox 3 RC1 and there is no room and all the links are 404'ed!