brunota2003 wrote:Is it just me or does the NRL no longer have Invest 91L? the main site...
EDIT
It's on the Back up site.
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
Invest 91L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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SouthFloridawx
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Dean4Storms
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SouthFloridawx
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TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 08 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A 1009 MB ATLANTIC OCEAN LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N49W...OR
ABOUT 650 NM EAST OF WINDWARD ISLANDS...MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER FROM
12N-15N BETWEEN 49W-51W. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 08 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A 1009 MB ATLANTIC OCEAN LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N49W...OR
ABOUT 650 NM EAST OF WINDWARD ISLANDS...MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER FROM
12N-15N BETWEEN 49W-51W. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
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StormWarning1
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Dean4Storms wrote:It is getting closer to 55w where we began to see Chris come together. I suspect we will see another blossom of deep convection in a few hours and that will be the lift off point IMO.
Lifting off has been the problem for two days now. Every time convection pokes it head above the ground (12000 feet are so) it gets lifted off by shear.
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SouthFloridawx
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Coredesat
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cycloneye
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Team Ragnarok wrote:The backup site doesn't seem to be working for me, period. I keep getting Forbidden errors.
It works for me.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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all_we_know_is_FALLING
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SouthFloridawx
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Forbidden
You don't have permission to access /tc-bin/tc_home.cgi on this server.
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
You don't have permission to access /tc-bin/tc_home.cgi on this server.
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
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StormWarning1
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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cycloneye
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SouthFloridawx wrote:Forbidden
You don't have permission to access /tc-bin/tc_home.cgi on this server.
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
Now is out.But before it went out I got the TCFA from there.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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all_we_know_is_FALLING
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Dean4Storms
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StormWarning1 wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:It is getting closer to 55w where we began to see Chris come together. I suspect we will see another blossom of deep convection in a few hours and that will be the lift off point IMO.
Lifting off has been the problem for two days now. Every time convection pokes it head above the ground (12000 feet are so) it gets lifted off by shear.
The shear is not enough to keep it from developing and it appears to be lessening even further as the ULL continues to weaken to its NW. Alberto not only developed but came close to a Hurricane with much more shear than this. 91L's problem right now is overcoming the dry air it keeps gulping from the south everytime it begins to fire. It takes it a few hours to overcome it and boom we get convection again.
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Coredesat
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GeneratorPower
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