Hurricane Dean Recon Discussion

[Cyclone1]

Lets just call it 'borderline 4/5' and stop the pointless arguing. Or even better just say 915mb.



Anyway, anyone know when the next plane, hopefully with working coms, is going out?

The NHC is official, if they say it's a cat 5, it's a cat 5. Weteher it "really" is or not is irrelevant right now. It's really really really really close if it's not.

[Normandy]

Also, Dean's NE quad has actually been registering his highest winds during his entire lifetime.

[Cyclone1]

Eh actually i thought the strongest winds were in the northern eyewall for a westward moving storm.

That's correct.

[superfly]

Eh actually i thought the strongest winds were in the northern eyewall for a westward moving storm.

They are, I never said the strongest winds were in the NW quad. I said winds in the NW quad > NE quad.

[Normandy]

Eh actually i thought the strongest winds were in the northern eyewall for a westward moving storm.

They are, I never said the strongest winds were in the NW quad. I said winds in the NW quad > NE quad.

Well Dean has been producing higher winds in his NE quad then his NW quad for a while now (two days).....go look at recon obs.

[wxwatcher91]

HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
835 PM AST MON AUG 20 2007


DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING HURRICANE DEAN INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO 160 MPH...MAKING DEAN A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[thunderchief]

the right side eyewall is always the strongest. So in this case, storm moving just north of west, NW is about the same as the NE, with odds favoring the NE just slightly.

[Scorpion]

When are they getting another fix?

[pojo]

Wow - they sent the recon far north on that pass - I guess they were sampling for Little Cayman and Cayman Brac?

WE do the flight planning.

[sevenleft]

Wow - they sent the recon far north on that pass - I guess they were sampling for Little Cayman and Cayman Brac?

WE do the flight planning.

Could you let us know if the current aircraft is still flying, or if there is another one enroute?

[pojo]

Probably forgot to put the fuel cap back on.

Seriously, that's not funny.... we have one plane grounded for fueling problems.

On 5300 we had a major problem heading into the storm, and for crew safety, they had to turn around and abort the 12z. I'm not going into detail.

[pojo]

Humm.. really hoping everything is ok with the planes. Anyone hear from Pojo? She scheduled to fly any flights in the near future?

Nope not this time around.... Out of 3 planes, only 1 is storm flyable.... that plane was on the 00z,06z fixes and didn't land before 5300 took off.

[pojo]

Wow - they sent the recon far north on that pass - I guess they were sampling for Little Cayman and Cayman Brac?

WE do the flight planning.

Could you let us know if the current aircraft is still flying, or if there is another one enroute?

There should be a plane to get the 00z and 06z fixes.

[pojo]

NOT SATCOM problems.... Aircraft problems.

Shannon tell the crews (air and ground) we appreciate their service!

[Raebie]

Those pilots must have brass balls. I have to be medicated to fly commercial.

[Pebbles]

Humm.. really hoping everything is ok with the planes. Anyone hear from Pojo? She scheduled to fly any flights in the near future?

Nope not this time around.... Out of 3 planes, only 1 is storm flyable.... that plane was on the 00z,06z fixes and didn't land before 5300 took off.

Thanks pojo.. your the bestest! Sure everyone is trying their best with the situation as they can.

[pojo]

NOT SATCOM problems.... Aircraft problems.

[Shannon tell the crews (air and ground) we appreciate their service! ]

What the.... I didn't write that!

Seriously... I will pass that along.

Just remember.... the aircraft AREN'T always reliable... PLEASE be patient!

[pojo]

Those pilots must have brass balls. I have to be medicated to fly commercial.

Its NOT just the pilots... there are 4 other people on board besides the pilots.

[pojo]

Humm.. really hoping everything is ok with the planes. Anyone hear from Pojo? She scheduled to fly any flights in the near future?

Nope not this time around.... Out of 3 planes, only 1 is storm flyable.... that plane was on the 00z,06z fixes and didn't land before 5300 took off.

Thanks pojo.. your the bestest! Sure everyone is trying their best with the situation as they can.

Frustrating as it may be for everyone... its 1000x worse for the forecasters and CARCAH at NHC and us.

[mf_dolphin]

Shannon that was me.... I must have hit edit instead of quote. You think I would know how to do this by now lol