Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic -(Now Invest 97L)

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Ivanhater
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#521 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:30 pm

156 hours

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#522 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:30 pm

H+150 entering the SE bahamas...pattern quite concerning...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal150.gif
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#523 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:31 pm

162 hours...still moving just north of west

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#524 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:33 pm

H+160 I suspect this is a FL/Gulf coast hit this run looking at the synoptics...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal162.gif
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#525 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:33 pm

Is that a weakness in the ridge I see opening up on the West Coast of FL?
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#526 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:34 pm

H+168 Intensifying heading for FL...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal168.gif
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#527 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:35 pm

Ivanhater wrote:150 hours...emerging off the coast of Haiti

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Wow talk about a slow mover, so at 126 hr's it's on the eastern DR coast, 132 not much movement. Again at 138 hr's not much then at about 150 hr's it's off the coast.
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#528 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:35 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Is that a weakness in the ridge I see opening up on the West Coast of FL?


Could be, if so, that would be amazing consistancy
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#529 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:35 pm

174 hours..intensifying rapidly

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#530 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:36 pm

H+174 intensifying quickly SE of Andros heading towards SFL...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal174.gif
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#531 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:36 pm

180 hours

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#532 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:37 pm

H+180 rapid intensification underway...



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal180.gif
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#533 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:38 pm

So it survives the Hispanola and Cuba spines.
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#534 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:39 pm

192 hours

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#535 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:39 pm

H+192 just SE of Miami, undergoing rapid intensification...




http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal192.gif
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#536 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:41 pm

Theoretically there could be a very powerful hurricane on our doorstep in just a week. And yet it isn't even an invest yet. Strange.
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#537 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:43 pm

H+192 another look...


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_192l.gif
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Re:

#538 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:43 pm

Vortex wrote:H+192 just SE of Miami, undergoing rapid intensification...
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal192.gif


Wow, the scary thing is it's only 6 days from being in the SE Bahamas. It's still fantasy but not as unrealistic as the 384 hr GFS seems to always have a monster hurricane somewhere.
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Re: Pouch P17L in Eastern Atlantic

#539 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:44 pm

204 hours...major hurricane scraping the east coast of Florida

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#540 Postby Vortex » Wed Aug 17, 2011 5:44 pm

H+204 Turns NNW with a landfall near West Palm Beach...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal204.gif
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