2020 Global ACE: NATL - 179.8 - EPAC - 76.5 - WPAC - 148.5 - NIO - 19.2

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 18.7 - EPAC - 26.9 - WPAC - 7.8 - NIO - 19.2

#61 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:56 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6044
Age: 33
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 19.4 - EPAC - 26.9 - WPAC - 8.3 - NIO - 19.2

#62 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 10:53 am

Here's the numbers as of 12Z today. WPac is moving again, but it has a big hole to climb out to even match the other NHem basins.

Image
1 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 22.5 - EPAC - 26.9 - WPAC - 10.9 - NIO - 19.2

#63 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 04, 2020 7:20 am

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Nuno
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 532
Joined: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:35 am
Location: Coral Gables, FL

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 22.5 - EPAC - 26.9 - WPAC - 10.9 - NIO - 19.2

#64 Postby Nuno » Tue Aug 04, 2020 10:37 am

cycloneye wrote:2020 keeps doing it's thing.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1290496512300998656


Really shows what a beast 2005 was, the Babe Ruth of Atlantic hurricane seasons.
3 likes   
Andrew (1992), Irene (1999), Frances (2004), Katrina (2005), Wilma (2005), Fay (2008), Irma (2017), Eta (2020), Ian (2022)

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3644
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 22.5 - EPAC - 26.9 - WPAC - 10.9 - NIO - 19.2

#65 Postby drezee » Tue Aug 04, 2020 11:57 am

MoliNuno wrote:
cycloneye wrote:2020 keeps doing it's thing.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1290496512300998656


Really shows what a beast 2005 was, the Babe Ruth of Atlantic hurricane seasons.

Are you saying 2020 is juicing off global warming like McGuire? :lol:
1 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 23.1 - EPAC - 27.2 - WPAC - 11.3 - NIO - 19.2

#66 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 09, 2020 3:57 pm

The EPAC looks to rack up some good ACE over the next 10+ days. Should be in the lead globally by alot after this period of hyperactivity. The basin is a beast. Hard to keep it suppressed even when the base state is not favorable for hyperactivity.
1 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8061
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 23.1 - EPAC - 27.2 - WPAC - 11.3 - NIO - 19.2

#67 Postby aspen » Sun Aug 09, 2020 4:44 pm

gatorcane wrote:The EPAC looks to rack up some good ACE over the next 10+ days. Should be in the lead globally by alot after this period of hyperactivity. The basin is a beast. Hard to keep it suppressed even when the base state is not favorable for hyperactivity.

Elida could give the EPac a decent ACE boost if it rapidly intensifies, but I highly doubt any of those model hurricanes past day 7 verify.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15461
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 23.1 - EPAC - 27.4 - WPAC - 11.6 - NIO - 19.2

#68 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 09, 2020 4:49 pm

I'm seeing possibilities of long trackers. These would be the big ACE makers compared to the coastline huggers that the GFS shows past the 10 day mark.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8061
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 23.1 - EPAC - 27.2 - WPAC - 11.3 - NIO - 19.2

#69 Postby aspen » Sun Aug 09, 2020 5:41 pm

aspen wrote:
gatorcane wrote:The EPAC looks to rack up some good ACE over the next 10+ days. Should be in the lead globally by alot after this period of hyperactivity. The basin is a beast. Hard to keep it suppressed even when the base state is not favorable for hyperactivity.

Elida could give the EPac a decent ACE boost if it rapidly intensifies, but I highly doubt any of those model hurricanes past day 7 verify.

To clarify: I’m not very doubtful of the 0/40 disturbances. There’s solid model support and they start forming in only 84-102 hours. My main doubt is that giant major hurricane the GFS shows for next week.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 23.9 - EPAC - 33.0 - WPAC - 13.8 - NIO - 19.2

#70 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 14, 2020 10:38 am

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 25.8 - EPAC - 33.0 - WPAC - 13.8 - NIO - 19.2

#71 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 15, 2020 10:40 pm

1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4178
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 28.8 - EPAC - 44.9 - WPAC - 15.9 - NIO - 19.2

#72 Postby toad strangler » Sun Aug 23, 2020 10:13 am

Atlantic has a good shot of vaulting into 1st place post Marco / Laura ..... and then running away with the title heading into late August / Sept
#juggernaut
2 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 29.3 - EPAC - 44.9 - WPAC - 16.4 - NIO - 19.2

#73 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:46 pm

WPAC is way behind on the average ACE for August 23 as the average is 109.7 units. Let's see if it gets going soon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6044
Age: 33
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 31.7 - EPAC - 44.9 - WPAC - 18.8 - NIO - 19.2

#74 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Aug 24, 2020 10:39 am

As far as ACE goes, EPac way out in front, WPac passes the NIO, NAtl getting ready to crank.

Image
0 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 31.7 - EPAC - 44.9 - WPAC - 18.8 - NIO - 19.2

#75 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 24, 2020 10:48 am

CSU is slightly different Allen on WPAC with 18.8.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 33.7 - EPAC - 44.9 - WPAC - 22.2 - NIO - 19.2

#76 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2020 5:18 pm

2 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 41.7 - EPAC - 46.0 - WPAC - 25.2 - NIO - 19.2

#77 Postby Kazmit » Thu Aug 27, 2020 11:09 am

Laura provided a nice ACE boost just from being a MH for a day. Still, the Atlantic needs a long-tracking hurricane to keep ACE above average.
1 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

storminabox
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 260
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2017 10:50 pm

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 41.7 - EPAC - 46.0 - WPAC - 25.2 - NIO - 19.2

#78 Postby storminabox » Thu Aug 27, 2020 11:36 am

Kazmit wrote:Laura provided a nice ACE boost just from being a MH for a day. Still, the Atlantic needs a long-tracking hurricane to keep ACE above average.


It’s destined to fall behind if it doesn’t produce a long tracker soon Climo is really getting going at this point.
1 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 41.7 - EPAC - 46.0 - WPAC - 25.2 - NIO - 19.2

#79 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:45 pm

storminabox wrote:
Kazmit wrote:Laura provided a nice ACE boost just from being a MH for a day. Still, the Atlantic needs a long-tracking hurricane to keep ACE above average.


It’s destined to fall behind if it doesn’t produce a long tracker soon Climo is really getting going at this point.


Agree with that.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: 2020 Global ACE: NATL - 42.1 - EPAC - 47.2 - WPAC - 25.4 - NIO - 19.2

#80 Postby euro6208 » Fri Aug 28, 2020 10:26 am

Who would have thought that entering September and in a record low year so far in the WPAC, the other basins have even struggled.

I expected a bigger deficit.

Looks like globally this year will be down ACE wise. Unless the WPAC makes it up big in the last months of the year.

Maysak brewing and might even take the basin in the lead.

The sleeping giant is waking up.
1 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: DESTRUCTION5, facemane, floridasun, Google [Bot], Hurricane2022, JtSmarts, LarryWx, PTrackerLA, sandral, Tireman4, wxman22 and 79 guests