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cycloneye
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#741 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:52 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:new NHC discussion is up


forgive me for being stupid guys but who is forecaster Korty? I have never heard of him/her

<RICKY>


Another branch is taking over now HPC and that is why there is a new forecaster.
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CronkPSU
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#742 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:52 am

he didn't put a title up either, made me think at first it was no longer classified as a depression
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#743 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:52 am

he is with HPC
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#744 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:54 am

Wow! Talk about being blown away by a discussion! I'm absolutely stunned that this Korty character sees this as intensifying! I'm speechless, enough said...
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#745 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:56 am

lol me too...although, jb did say if** it gets under the trof, then the other side holds some favorable conditions for development
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Derek Ortt

#746 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:56 am

nah,

Stacy Stewart's loop of Franklin was much better than this undergoing significant intensification
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CronkPSU
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#747 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:57 am

ok, i'll bite, why isn't the NHC doing the updates and putting out the info now, i see the 5 PM update will be done by the HPC now as well
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#748 Postby swimaster20 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:58 am

I really don't see why they fixed the motion at 280. From the 5 AM advisory to the 11 AM advisory it moved WSW.
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#749 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:58 am

they must be having problems or upgrading stuff...or something along those lines
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#750 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:59 am

Maybe I oughta drive down to FIU and see what the NHC is up to for myself. Only 15 minutes away.

<RICKY>
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#751 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 09, 2005 9:59 am

i tried to tell folks it was going west yesterday, but i was wrong too as it went south of due west, lol
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#752 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:02 am

ivanhater wrote:i tried to tell folks it was going west yesterday, but i was wrong too as it went south of due west, lol


perhaps we have all misjudged.

<RICKY>
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#753 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:03 am

Derek Ortt wrote:nah,

Stacy Stewart's loop of Franklin was much better than this undergoing significant intensification


Yeah, and it was better than other TPC forecasters as well. Franklin did several loops. :D
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#754 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:03 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:i tried to tell folks it was going west yesterday, but i was wrong too as it went south of due west, lol


perhaps we have all misjudged.

<RICKY>


yes we have, this storm is unpredictable
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#755 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:13 am

Image
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#756 Postby fci » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:16 am

CronkPSU wrote:ok, i'll bite, why isn't the NHC doing the updates and putting out the info now, i see the 5 PM update will be done by the HPC now as well


So does anyone know why the HPC is doing this.
Mr Korty is certainly a new name.
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Scorpion

#757 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:18 am

Talk about consensus. Im concerned that if it strengthens it could be pulled further west under the high and perhaps pull an Andrew(not nearly as strong but still potent).
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#758 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:18 am

I like the optimism of CLP5. :D

BAMM shows an ANDREW-like scenario; trajectory wise.
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MiamiensisWx

#759 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:25 am

Looks like TD Irene is trying to form a new center of circulation. If look carefully at the Visible Loop Floater of Irene there seems to be a spin around something.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

There also seems to be a small burst-up of convection near where the supposed center is trying to form. Of course, I could be wrong.
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#760 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:36 am

Looking at the floater, it does appear that there is still a LLCC, although just barely, and that convection is attempting to fire over it. Still plenty of SW shear evident though, so it will be fighting make it happen.
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