Developing Low -Heavy Rain/Gale Force Winds- Is invest 93L

#81 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 4:37 pm

I don't see the initial low organizing in the Atlantic, too much energy moving westward into the Gulf.

#82 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 4:44 pm

How far west will the heavy rain get?

Rainband · #83 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 4:59 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:I don't see the initial low organizing in the Atlantic, too much energy moving westward into the Gulf.

seems like the area to watch is that spin off sw florida everything will get drawn north. Going to be a wet night for Florida

#84 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:01 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:How far west will the heavy rain get?

GFS 12z Days 1-5 total precip forecast.....

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... 1-5120.gif

#85 Postby **AdamFirst** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:06 pm

Weather has been absolutely crazy. Shorting transformers (that unmistakable buzzing sound) and blowing transformers are echoing around the neighborhood.

#86 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:13 pm

AdamFirst wrote:Weather has been absolutely crazy. Shorting transformers (that unmistakable buzzing sound) and blowing transformers are echoing around the neighborhood.

Stay safe out there!

#87 Postby **AdamFirst** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:19 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
AdamFirst wrote:Weather has been absolutely crazy. Shorting transformers (that unmistakable buzzing sound) and blowing transformers are echoing around the neighborhood.

Stay safe out there!

I'm enjoying the sounds from my porch. The rain has been pooling up as expected but the winds have been a bit of a surprise. It's really gusting.

Plus I've been unable to watch this Miami/Virginia Tech game with any regularity since the power has been going out and the cable box takes millenniums to boot back up

#88 Postby **NDG** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:24 pm

Though broad and elongated, compared to this morning when it was just a trough of low pressure, I see better surface low pressure circulation getting defined on satellite loop, I would put a COC of a broad low in cetral Cuba, SSE of Miami.
Near 22N & 79W, though not very well defined.

#89 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:26 pm

Probably will be an Invest soon (number?)

#90 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:28 pm

NDG wrote:Though broad and elongated, compared to this morning when it was just a trough of low pressure, I see better low pressure circulation getting defined on satellite loop, I would put a COC of a broad low in cetral Cuba, SSE of Miami.
Near 22N & 79W, though not very well defined.

Thats roughly where I have it as well...hard with these systems at present anyways.

Recurve · #91 Postby **Recurve** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:32 pm

tropically rainy day in the Upper Keys. A persistent band of deep convection has been out over Hawk channel all day, hours of rumbling thunder, three periods of downpours. Dark as night now. About 1.5 inches precip in the afternoon alone in my yard. Some strong gusts but no coconuts or branches down yet.

Thunder cranking up again. Pressure down .07 in. since 2 pm at Key Largo bayside, 0.15 since 10 pm last night. (CWOP - http://raws.wrh.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/roman/meso_base.cgi?stn=C1719)

#92 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:35 pm

looking at the latest cuban hourly updates, about a handful are reporting w/nw winds and pressures in these locales are running 29.80-29.83.. Pressures have certainly lowered several 3-5mb over the last 24 hours...

Rainband · #93 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:45 pm

NDG wrote:Though broad and elongated, compared to this morning when it was just a trough of low pressure, I see better surface low pressure circulation getting defined on satellite loop, I would put a COC of a broad low in cetral Cuba, SSE of Miami.
Near 22N & 79W, though not very well defined.

i still stick with the one off the sw coast I see no rotation in the area you speak of??

TheShrimper · #94 Postby **TheShrimper** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 5:53 pm

Rainband wrote:
NDG wrote:Though broad and elongated, compared to this morning when it was just a trough of low pressure, I see better surface low pressure circulation getting defined on satellite loop, I would put a COC of a broad low in cetral Cuba, SSE of Miami.
Near 22N & 79W, though not very well defined.
i still stick with the one off the sw coast I see no rotation in the area you speak of??

Tough call. There is also something noticable 80 miles SSW of Key West.

Tampa_God · #95 Postby **Tampa_God** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 6:02 pm

The winds have become stronger and more persistent in the past couple hour or so up here in New Port Richey. Guessing part of it is the big squall batch of rain coming from the east. Going to be a fun couple of days.

Phoenix78 · #96 Postby **Phoenix78** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 6:09 pm

Just short of 10" in the rain bucket since Thursday night - with more expected tomorrow... crazy flooding in the 'hood (Vero Beach). Reminds me of Fay.

#97 Postby **dizzyfish** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 6:14 pm

Managed to sneak in the garage sale today. Extremely windy almost all day. Only had one casualty - a glass Irish coffee mug.

Glad we aren't trying to have the sale tomorrow too! No rain yet - but I can tell it is close.

#98 Postby **AdamFirst** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 6:15 pm

Another massive dry slot over St. Lucie and Martin Counties...seems like the squalls off the ocean are heading west-northwest towards the northern part of the peninsula

#99 Postby **SFLcane** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 6:18 pm

Heavy rain threat for now appears to have ended with a large shield of light rain over SFL. Have not seen any sustained winds yet 25-30 range yeilding the wind advisory in place. Plenty of gusty squalls though this afternoon.

#100 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Oct 08, 2011 6:21 pm

wouldn't be surprised if later tonight/sunday portions of the peninsula have several short lived tornadoes...

Developing Low -Heavy Rain/Gale Force Winds- Is invest 93L

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